Friday, September 14, 2007
Gameday Eve
VS.
- Position by position analysis
QB - Sam Keller vs. John David Booty
This position is more critical for Nebraska than USC. With the horses USC has up front and in the backfield, Booty usually doesn't need to be spectacular and take a game over. Keller, on the other hand, has less talent to work with. He maybe doesn't need to be spectacular, but he needs to be error-free and will be required to hit on more big plays than Booty.
Booty to me is a tad overrated, he's not as great as some think, but at the same time is a very good QB. Keller can do everything he can and is more capable of the spectacular. Keller's been wanting this game for 2 years now. It's a reason he came to Nebraska. He lives for games like this. I think you'll see a complete, effective, spectacular at times performance from him. Callahan's going to let him loose.
EDGE -
- Running Back - Marlon Lucky vs. A stable of thoroughbreds
Nebraska has one very good running back. USC has 7. The sheer depth of this backfield is astounding. A good question to ask yourself, where would Marlon Lucky sit on the depth chart if he was at USC? I'm not sure, but it wouldn't be #1 in my estimation.
Lucky is a different player this year, he's more assertive, has become a workhorse, and is breaking out nationally. But USC has multiple 5-star players at the position. I can't go against the depth and talent.
EDGE -
- Wide Receiver/Tight End
Before the season I would have given the edge to Nebraska. Losing Steve Smith and Dwayne Jarrett had pushed the edge to Nebraska. But after watching these first 2 games and seeing all the drops and how ordinary this receiving corps really is, I have to go with USC. Patrick Turner is a great talent who is just now getting his chance and Fred Davis is a top 5 tight end in the nation. Nebraska has no threat whatsoever at tight end.
EDGE -
- Offensive Line
Nebraska returned all the talent from a year ago, rushed for 400+ yards in the opener, was able to produce almost 400 yards of offense against a tough Wake Forest defense on the road in week 2, and has looked like the best line they've had since Eric Crouch's senior year in 2001. USC returns Sam Baker, a consensus All-American, but starts a freshman at center. When you have the strongest man in America at nose tackle staring that freshman in the eyes, it could be bad news. Give me Nebraska on this. USC still has a very good line, but they lost too much talent from last year.
EDGE -
- Defensive Line
Sedrick Ellis and Lawrence Jackson are studs for USC, look for them early and often. Suh is a beast at nose tackle for Nebraska, and should be 1st team all conference, but after him, Nebraska has no one capable of dominating. USC has better overall talent on the line and should give Nebraska's O-line fits all day.
EDGE -
- Linebackers
This could be the best 2 linebacking corps in the country going head to head. MLB Rey Maualuga, WLB Keith Rivers, SLB Brian Cushing are friggin' unreal. Bo Ruud, Corey McKeon, and Steve Octavien are damn good as well. Here's the key - Which team has a gamebreaking tight end that must be covered by a LB? USC. Who has the better defensive line capable of letting their LB's roam free and make plays? USC. Who has the edge? USC.
EDGE -
- Secondary
Larry Asante is a hitting machine. Courtney Grixby is playing light years better than last year. Zach Bowman is back making plays again and can match up with any WR USC has. FS Tierre Green is banged up and may not play, so this could be trouble. USC's secondary is just a bunch of guys, no one really stands out, but they are still very good. A starting CB was lost for the year earlier this week, so that downgrades this position for USC. Slight edge here.
EDGE -
- Coaching
This is huge. Can Callahan finally do it? Will the rumored USC 2007 gameplanning/looking ahead for a whole year pay off? Is he pointing to this game as his signature game as a Nebraska coach? And will that make him let it all hang out and call the game of his life? I've questioned him in the past, not necessarily the calls themselves, but why he would make them with the talent he has. I agree with his ballsy calls. But my complaint is he's calling those trick plays, fake punts, 4th down attempts, etc thinking he has the elite talent necessary for those plays to work. He has not had it in the past, so those calls have blown up in his face. I think he's very close to having that talent on board this year.
I see him calling a 2005 Colorado or a 2006 Texas game. In my opinion, 2 of the better games he's coached. He either had them so off balance they didn't know what was coming next or he called the correct nutsy calls at the correct time.
On the flip side, you think there's anything Pete Carroll hasn't seen? He's been in big games, has the best talent this side of LSU, and can design a killer defensive game plan.
I'm just betting this is the game Callahan puts it all together. He's got the difference maker at QB and RB he needs, he's at home, and he's been prepping for this chance for over a year. He needs this game, he wants this game, and he'll call it as such.
So how do I give the edge to a guy who's 24-16 in 4 years at Nebraska over a guy who's been 60-6 with 2 National Titles in the since 2003? Because Callahan figures it out this weekend, that's why. He takes that next step Saturday.
EDGE -
- Intangibles
This could be the difference right here. Nebraska is a totally different beast at home. They're hungry and sick of hearing how Nebraska football is on the brink of being elite but not yet there. They want to finally push it over the edge, they won't coast through this game, not at all. They're going to be about as focused as any team I've seen. This is their Super Bowl.
Don't believe the company line of, "USC isn't in our conference," "We don't need to beat them to accomplish our goal of winning the Big 12." Bullshat. This is the game they've been wanting for a long time. Don't buy that crap.
USC has a great chance of underestimating this team. Superior athletes, if not motivated, can coast and be taken off guard. I expect Nebraska to hit them in the mouth and wear them down. USC has proven it doesn't enjoy this and this is the 1 way you can beat them. Hit, hit, hit, and hit some more until they're begging you to stop. You're going to have one team that's going to be ho-hum, just another game. And you're going to have one team that's playing like it's the National Championship.
And maybe an even bigger factor..........Memorial Stadium
I've been to Memorial Stadium pre and post renovations. In the past, the stadium was too wide open, nothing was closed in like most of the intimidating stadiums are. It was loud, but no different than a lot of the stadiums around the country.
They've added a huge press box on one side and have extended seating and a Platinum Club in one end zone. Closed it up big time. Noise now stays inside the stadium. I visited this summer and immediately knew it would be a better atmosphere this year. They, by my count, bumped the noise level up 3-4 times by making these changes.
That place is going to be loud as hell. It's going to sound/look like Colorado 1994, Texas 2006, and Colorado 1996. 3 of the louder/more intense games I can remember. The West Coast Offense that USC and Nebraska run can be easily influenced by crowd noise. If it's going to be as loud and crazy as I think it is, this could be trouble for USC.
Nebraska's prepensity for playing out of their minds at home, crowd noise, motivation, intensity. All intangibles that no doubt favor Nebraska.
EDGE -
- Final Prediction
By final count, Nebraska has a 5-4 edge. I'm biased, yes. But I tried to stay as objective as possible. With the college football landscape the way it is these days, there's not much difference in a top 5 team and a top 20 team. With a few exceptions obviously, and the only exception I see this year is LSU. USC is not as bulletproof as people think they are.
Their offense is no longer the explosive juggernaut it was during the Leinart/Bush days. It's a good offense, but it's not totally un-defenseable. The defense is stellar, but can be worn down by charging them up and hitting them in the mouth play after play.
Another thing that can't be discounted.....Booty threw 3 TD's last year to Steve Smith and Dwayne Jarrett, both now in the NFL. Those guys are gone and the replacements aren't near as good. Shut down the running game and make Booty beat you! He doesn't have the weapons out wide like he used to. You get it to where Booty must beat you, and you up your chances 10-fold.
Nebraska is just a different team at home. Plain and simple. They're top 10 at home, and top 40 on the road. Everyone for Nebraska has an agenda. Sam Keller needs payback for 2005. Marlon Lucky needs payback for USC not signing him out of North Hollywood High School. Bill Callahan needs to quiet doubters, beat a top 5 team, and get his signature win. The offensive line needs to prove that last year's performance was a fluke. The defense needs to prove it was in fact them, not USC's conservative play calling, that contributed to a very good performance last year in holding down USC's offense. And the whole program needs to prove it's back.
There's just too much motivation and desire on the Big Red's side.
Give it to me Lance (or Sam Keller).
24-22 NEBRASKA
- You've heard me, now hear it from around the country. From Kansas City.
Southern Cal has taken over the role of dynasty from the Huskers
By BLAIR KERKHOFF
The Kansas City Star
LINCOLN, Neb. | Matt Davison has played the ugly guest role Southern California assumes this weekend.
“We used to go into people’s houses assuming we were going to win,” said Davison, a split end on the 1997 national championship team. “Just like they’re coming into ours.”
When a different shade of red ruled college football, Nebraska was the uber-talented and confident program whose road show struck fear into the host.
Identities have switched. Saturday’s Nebraska-Southern Cal showdown is the nation’s biggest game not because the matchup is seen as two national championship contending teams, but because one is and the other is desperately trying to be once again.
As the first top-ranked team to visit Memorial Stadium since 1978, Southern California is college football’s elite, winners of two national championships since 2004 with no end in sight to its dominance. Nebraska’s No. 14 ranking in The Associated Press poll is the program’s highest since 2003. That was two years after the Cornhuskers handed off the baton to Southern Cal, signaling the end of one dynasty and the beginning of the next.
The final moment of the Husker dynasty can be traced to Oct. 27, 2001 — a glorious day for Nebraskans in Lincoln. No. 3 Nebraska beat No. 2 Oklahoma 20-10 in a thriller that thrust Husker quarterback Eric Crouch to the top of the Heisman Trophy watch list. At the time, it seemed like just another mega win for the Huskers, who went 8-3 against top-five opponents from 1994 to that day.
And, then, it all came crashing down.
A Nebraska loss Saturday would drop the Huskers to 0-5 against top-five teams since that late October day of 2001.
“Where we are now is a different feeling for our fans and different for the people who have been around for a long time,” Davison said.
Southern Cal, meanwhile, filled in nicely after the Huskers exited the national scene. It finished each of the previous five years ranked in the top four, played in BCS bowls, won the Pacific-10 and at least 11 games. The Trojans bring a Heisman Trophy front-runner in quarterback John David Booty, bidding to become the program’s fourth in six years, and 10 returning defensive starters, including what many believe is the nation’s best group of linebackers.
This program is, in many respects, what Nebraska fans cheered for just 10 years ago.
“They’re the modern-day dynasty,” Cornhuskers cornerback Cortney Grixby said. “Nebraska owned the ’90s. But since the millennium they’ve been the best team. For us to be the best, we have to play the best, and that’s them.”
•••
Nobody stays on top forever, and some never get there. Nebraska was king of the mountain for five years starting in 1993, and the Cornhuskers weren’t far from the top for much of the next four seasons.
The 60-3 record over that first five years and 42-9 over the next four included the three national championships, five conference titles and a grand total of four games played with the team ranked outside the top 10.
None who suits up for Nebraska on Saturday was part of that. Even the fifth-year seniors have never been part of a conference championship or BCS bowl.
They’ve never been on a team that’s won all of its home games, much less expect to blast every opponent.
“It’s important to be the kind of program that wins every home game,” Davison said. “We’ve gotten away from that.”
The Cornhuskers came close last year. They led fifth-ranked Texas late before a fumble set up the Longhorns’ game-winning field goal. It would have been the program’s first perfect home season since 2001.
Trojans coach Pete Carroll sounds like former Nebraska coach Tom Osborne from the previous decade.
“We’re accustomed over the years to playing teams that give us their best shot, and their fans are ready to answer the call,” Carroll said. “That’s what we’ve come to expect.”
•••
What does Nebraska expect on Saturday? Kevin Kugler, co-host for a drive-time sports talk show on KOZN in Omaha, said the week’s tone for Husker diehard callers was realism wrapped in optimism.
“The realistic fan seems to think that there’s a better-than-average chance they’ll lose this game,” Kugler said. “People realize this is the No. 1 team in the country and beating them, even at home, is a difficult task.”
What gives Davison hope is Nebraska’s progress on the recruiting trail under Callahan.
“I feel like we have players good enough to win this game for the first time in five years,” Davison said. “There’s a much better chance than last year.”
Nebraska lost at Southern California 28-10 on this weekend a year ago, and it could have been worse. The Trojans took a knee instead of attempting a final-play touchdown from the shadow of Nebraska’s goal line.
Callahan took criticism for a conservative game plan that produced 36 attempts and 68 rushing yards. The Huskers threw it 17 times and seemed to be playing to keep from getting blown out.
What’s different this time? For starters, Nebraska has a quarterback, Sam Keller, who had some success against the Trojans, at least for a half. Playing for Arizona State in 2005, Keller put Southern California on its heels and helped the Sun Devils to a 21-3 halftime lead. He raised his arms in triumph as he disappeared into the tunnel.
The second half became a nightmare as Keller threw four of his five interceptions and the Trojans rallied for a 38-28 triumph.
“I don’t look at it like redemption at all,” Keller said. “It’s such a distant, far-off memory that it doesn’t even come up in my head anymore.”
But memories aren’t always a bad thing at Nebraska.
“To get to the way it used to be,” Davison said, “we have to win a game like this. That’s how it starts.”
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday marks another chance for Nebraska to get its first major victory since beating No. 2 Oklahoma in 2001. The Huskers have lost their last four games against top-five teams. From the 1994 to 1997 seasons, they rattled off six straight wins over top-five teams and did it by an average margin of 18 points.
1994-2001: 8-3 record
Oct. 29, 1994: No. 3 Nebraska 24, No. 2 Colorado 7
Jan. 1, 1995: No. 1 Nebraska 24, No. 3 Miami 17
Jan. 2, 1996: No. 1 Nebraska 62, No. 2 Florida 24
Nov. 29, 1996: No. 4 Nebraska 17, No. 5 Coloardo 12
Sept. 20, 1997: No. 7 Nebraska 27, No. 2 Washington 14
Jan. 2, 1998: No. 2 Nebraska 42, No. 3 Tennessee 17
Nov. 14, 1998: No. 2 Kansas State 40, No. 11 Nebraska 30
Dec. 30, 1998: No. 5 Arizona 23, No. 14 Nebraska 20
Nov. 13, 1999: No. 7 Nebraska 41, No. 5 K-State 15
Oct. 28, 2000: No. 3 Oklahoma 31, No. 1 Nebraska 14
Oct. 27, 2001: No. 3 Nebraska 20, No. 2 Oklahoma 10
Since then: 0-4 record
Jan. 3, 2002: No. 1 Miami 37, No. 4 Nebraska 14
Nov. 13, 2004: No. 2 Oklahoma 30, NR Nebraska 3
Sept. 16, 2006: No. 4 USC 28, No. 19 Nebraska 10
Oct. 21, 2006: No. 5 Texas 22, No. 17 Nebraska 20
- From the Dallas paper.....
Facing No. 1 USC pivotal for Nebraska
01:02 AM CDT on Friday, September 14, 2007
Coach Bill Callahan put his signature on a new contract this month at Nebraska and may finally get a signature win to go with it.
For quarterback Sam Keller, it has become 2005 again, with every one of his five interceptions against Southern California dissected this week.
Receiver Maurice Purify got to explain how Southern Cal snubbed him. Marlon Lucky got to tell how he turned down the Trojans.
So many stories, so little time. And Nebraska can answer so many questions with a strong performance Saturday against the top-ranked Trojans.
Callahan recently received a new five-year contract worth a reported $1.75 million annually. But the 14th-ranked Cornhuskers have yet to achieve a breakthrough win. They came close last season, but suffered narrow losses to Texas and Auburn.
The game at Southern California wasn't so close, a 28-10 loss.
For a fan base that long considered Lincoln the center of the college football universe, it's been difficult.
This week, Callahan has talked about how this is just another game, which instinctively tells you it isn't.
"In terms of your approach, it doesn't matter who you're playing," Callahan said at his weekly news conference. "The main thing is that you focus on what you have to get done and accomplish. The opponent is the opponent."
Keller knows the opponent better than most.
In a different life at Arizona State, Keller struggled against Southern California during a 38-28 loss. Four of his five interceptions came in the second half.
Since then, Keller won and then lost a quarterback duel with Rudy Carpenter and bolted the Tempe campus for Lincoln.
He has been only OK this season despite a gunslinger reputation. He's thrown more interceptions (three) than touchdowns (two) and hasn't erased memories of the departed Zac Taylor.
Keller has refused to call Saturday's game a potential defining moment or a chance at redemption.
For better or worse, he's familiar with the Trojans' athletic and aggressive defense, which he says looks much the same on film.
"You just have to be mistake-free," Keller said. "You have to take what they give you. You have to be very smart. You always have to be aggressive. You have to take shots at them, because they are that good."
Purify and Lucky had forgettable days against the Trojans last season. They weren't alone.
"You know the caliber of team they are," cornerback Cortney Grixby said. "It is hard not to look ahead, and you try to focus on not doing it, but it is here now, so it really does not matter."
DEFENDING LINCOLN
Nebraska will be hosting a No. 1-ranked team in The Associated Press poll for the first time since upsetting Oklahoma in 1978. Here's how the Cornhuskers have done recently at home against teams ranked in the top five:
Year Team (AP rank) Result
2006 Texas (5) UT, 22-20
2001 Oklahoma (2) NU, 20-10
1999 Kansas St. (5) NU, 41-15
1996 Colorado (5) NU, 17-12
1994 Colorado (2) NU, 24-7
1991 Washington (4) UW, 36-21
- From the Denver paper......
It's time Nebraska made move to restore power
By John Henderson
Denver Post Staff Writer
Article Last Updated: 09/13/2007 11:54:24 PM MDT
It's Year Four on the Bill Callahan watch, Nebraska fans. Do you know where your former superpower is?
No one really knows, but you will Saturday night. Top-ranked Southern California visits Nebraska in one of the biggest litmus tests in Cornhuskers history. It's time Nebraska finally passed one. For the past six years, Nebraska has become nothing more than a good team with more spunk than talent. It's more of a pest than a power. What Nebraska fan wants his team to be merely a spunky pest?
Keep in mind the timing of Saturday night's game. There's usually a level of progress expected when new coaches take over, particularly former powers with more resources than patience.
The first year is thrown out.
The new coach is there for a reason. Callahan went 5-6 in 2004. The second- year progress must be shown. It's the second year of a new system and players no longer can fall back on the old adjustment excuse. Callahan went 8-4 and beat Michigan in the Alamo Bowl.
Then the third year, it's time to step up. Make a statement. Bare fangs. Show you have returned to the nation's elite. Last year, that didn't happen. Nebraska went 9-5 - 0-4 against top 10 teams - and fell out of the final rankings.
Nebraska has become a team that can't win the big one. It goes beyond Callahan's 4-6 mark against ranked teams and 0-5 record against teams in the top 10. Nebraska has won only five of its past 18 games against ranked teams and hasn't beaten anyone in the top 10 since Frank Solich's 2001 squad beat No. 2 Oklahoma 20-10.
Since then it has been seven straight losses to top 10 teams. Now here comes USC, the first top-ranked team to visit Lincoln since Oklahoma in 1978, and Callahan has the perfect NFL-style quarterback for his NFL- style offense. Win Saturday and the 14th-ranked Cornhuskers will leapfrog into the top 10 for the first time in five years and again be legitimate national title contenders.
Unfortunately, Callahan either is talking coachspeak or somehow hasn't grasped the urgency of the moment. In Tuesday's nationwide conference call, he said, "Our approach is no different than any other week."
Um, coach, USC is a bit different than Wake Forest. You can't commit three turnovers, rush for only 115 yards and go 3-for-15 on third downs and expect not to get humiliated with ESPN "GameDay" on your campus and millions watching on ABC.
Take a look at last year's failures and see that Nebraska still is missing that link that bridges the good from the great. Nebraska went to fourth- ranked USC and Callahan played conservatively to keep it close. Nebraska lost 28-10, but quarterback Zac Taylor threw a season-low 16 passes and the Cornhuskers' puny rushing attack wasn't enough to give them a chance to win.
No. 5 Texas came to Lincoln and Terrence Nunn's fumble on a first- down catch set up the Longhorns' winning field goal with 23 seconds left. Nebraska then met vastly improved No. 8 Oklahoma in the Big 12 championship game, ran for only 84 yards and Taylor threw three interceptions in a 21-7 loss.
In the 17-14 Cotton Bowl loss to No. 10 Auburn, Nebraska did nothing after a strong opening and unsuccessfully went for it on fourth down from the Auburn 30 on its final drive as it was out of kicker Jordan Congdon's range.
At least you can say Callahan is getting closer - unlike a certain "guru" who, in his third year, has put Notre Dame into five-speed reverse. But close only counts in Nebraska during harvest season and won't cut it again Saturday, despite USC's prowess.
Nebraska has a quarterback in Sam Keller who faced the Trojans two years ago and nearly beat them, throwing for 347 yards and two touchdowns. Nebraska fans just have to block out his four interceptions in the second half and USC coming back to win 38-28. Also, USC's defense is not the kind of proving ground for a quarterback who did little but hand off against Nevada and looked rattled against pressure at Wake Forest.
At least he knows what he's up against Saturday against the Trojans.
"They haven't changed much because I know how great they are," Keller said. "They are no less than great. They are great. You have to be mistake-free, take what they give you and be very smart. Also, you have to be aggressive and take shots. They are that good."
Isn't it time Nebraska became that good? The clock has been ticking for four years. And the nation is waiting.
- A report on ESPN's College Gameday
NU players, fans excited for GameDay
BY MITCH SHERMAN
WORLD-HERALD BUREAU
LINCOLN — The stage is almost set — literally — for Nebraska's return to the college football limelight.
An ESPN crew today will construct the traveling platform from which Chris Fowler, Lee Corso and Kirk Herbstreit will broadcast this weekend at Memorial Stadium.
The fun begins Friday night, with a pre-taped segment on SportsCenter. The network's popular "College GameDay" program originates live from the center of the Tom Osborne Field Saturday at 9 a.m. The two-hour show, which set out to tour the nation's top college venues in 1993 and hasn't stopped since, is back at NU for the first time since 2001.
The return of College GameDay — and don't kid yourself, they're here primarily to see No. 1-ranked Southern California — represents a milestone nonetheless for Nebraska.
Since GameDay last visited Lincoln for third-ranked Nebraska's 20-10 victory over No. 2 Oklahoma nearly six years ago, the Huskers have endured a painful coaching transition, a losing season and numerous other low moments.
But tune in Saturday morning, and you'd likely never know it. Nebraska already holds the unofficial GameDay attendance record of 15,808, set Sept. 8, 2001, before the Huskers faced Notre Dame.
A crowd to rival it is expected this time.
"We're honored that they chose us," Nebraska tight end J.B. Phillips said. "That's what you want for your program."
The show itself is something of a phenomenon. Fowler; Corso, a former coach; and the ex-quarterback Herbstreit have been together since 1996. Almost every week during the fall, ESPN picks the most important game as the site for its show.
The show has traveled to see the Trojans seven times since the start of the 2005 season.
"Everybody expects it, all that extra hype," USC tight end Fred Davis said. "We just go out there and do what we're supposed to do."
Nebraska is 5-0 when GameDay visits Lincoln, winning in 2001 over OU and Notre Dame, Washington in 1998, Colorado and UCLA in 1994.
And for what it's worth, the GameDay people are happy to be back.
"The Nebraska fans are the best in America," Corso said. "They're the most knowledgeable, respectful people watching college football. They respect the way college football should be played. It's my favorite place. You can't compare to Nebraska."
Don't expect Corso, though, to forecast an NU victory at the end of the show.
Herbstreit, part of the ABC crew calling the game, will not make a prediction. But that won't stop some in attendance from voicing their displeasure with him.
A group of NU fans, mostly students, have pledged to ignore all that Herbstreit says during the show by turning quiet and holding newspapers in place over their faces every time he talks.
Organized by freshman Josh Peterson, the fans are upset with Herbstreit for comments he made last December about Nebraska during ESPN's all-time college football playoff.
Herbstreit pouted repeatedly as fans voted Nebraska's 1971 and 1995 teams into finals of ESPN's mock bracket. He threatened on air, jokingly, to boycott the feature if the NU teams were declared better than his choices — 2001 Miami and 2004 USC.
"Personally I've always thought of Kirk as a valid broadcaster," said Peterson, a broadcasting major who graduated from Omaha North High School. "But when that happened, some of the stuff he said and did, I was just like, 'Come on.'"
Peterson said his group, arranged through several Web sites, had grown to more than 2,600 by Thursday.
"Really, we're just trying to have fun," he said.
Fans will sit in the west stands, facing the back of the stage, with the audio piped over the stadium speakers and the show displayed on the HuskerVision screen in the north end zone.
The GameDay crew will remain inside the stadium Saturday night, broadcasting from a smaller set off the southeast corner of the field. They will air live segments on ABC before the game and at halftime.
Let's get this thing on.
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