Thursday, October 30, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- After 2 weeks off licking my wounds, I'm back up on the horse and ready to ride hard and strong to the finish line. Ready to right this ship and get myself back over .500. Here we go.


YTD - 71-80-4

DOUBLE PLAYS -

Michigan State -4.5
Florida -5.5
Boston College -6.5
Oklahoma -22



Thursday

South Florida (-2.5) at Cincinnati - ESPN - 6:30 pm

South Florida comes in with 2 losses, both in conference, to Pitt at home and to Louisville on the road. South Florida is a really good team, with tons of athletes, an above average quarterback, a difference maker on the defensive line. And Cincinnati has been very average all year. Give me the athletes over a mediocre team.
Pick - South Florida -2.5

Dallas (-4) vs. Houston - TNT - 7:00 pm

One team comes into a new NBA season with hefty expectations, one team comes in with absolutely none. Houston, everyone's preseason darlings ever since Yao and McGrady joined forces, now have media types really creaming over themselves now that Ron Artest is on board. Like I say every year about Houston, I'll believe it when I see it.

At the same rate, the Mavericks are being severely underrated and overlooked. Which is completely fine with me. I see a better than expected, motivated, flying under the radar Mavs team this year.

One of my favorite websites, www.dallasbasketball.com, has tons of great points as to why this season will be a pleasant surprise to most media idiots out there.

Reason 1 - Dirk Nowitzki shows no sign of decline. In fact, The UberMan may still be on the incline. In that first-round Hornets series, Dirk averaged 26.8 points, 12 rebounds and four assists per game. He was, indeed, better than he’d been in the regular season. Those numbers are better than any collection of numbers he’s ever had over the course of a regular season. With a bum leg.

Reason 2 - They were 6 games out of 1st place. And how terrible were they late in games after Kidd trade? Very awful. I say that was a combo of a new point guard and a handcuffing coach who had that team overthinking and acting like puppets. And teams sitting on Avery’s plays. That gets fixed this year.

6 out of Dallas’ top 7 players from the 67-win team from two seasons ago remain on this roster. Even last season – in a supposed down year – this group won 51, scored over 100 points per game, played sound-enough defense to finish fourth in the NBA in FG-against percentage, were not turnover-prone, were a near-dominant rebounding team and endured a huge trade and a Dirk injury to finish seventh in the toughest sports conference in the history of ever...And they suddenly suck?

Reason 3 – Redemption/motivation for Howard and Kidd. Kidd's playing for his final contract. Howard is playing for character redemption, for a return to All Star status, and for his next contract in 2 years. Add in Dirk’s motivation and a new coach tailoring the offense to the players he has.

That’s 3 motivated top guys with a brand new system and opponents not sitting on plays. The toughest thing in pro sports to stop is having 3 top players (1 who is a top 5-10 player in the game) playing motivated and with chips on their shoulders.

- Write off the Mavericks at your own peril. This team is not as old, not as far off from the top of the West, and not as left behind in the dust as everyone thinks. And remember how this team plays when the bulls-eye is not on them.

Pick -Dallas -4


Saturday


Wisconsin at Michigan State (-4.5) - ESPN - 11:00 am
Wisconsin has to be one of the most disappointing teams in the nation this year. Tons of hope early in the season and a high ranking have given way to a losing record in the Big 10 and a lost season. Michigan State has an offense that can score on most of the teams in America. They're at home, they're fresh off a great win in the Big House, and Wisconsin sucks.
DOUBLE PLAY - Michigan State -4.5

Northwestern at Minnesota (-6.5) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

One of the best stories of the year has been lost in the headlines this year. Perennial doormats Minnesota and Northwestern are sitting at 7-1 and 6-2, respectively. Minnesota even has a 3-1 conference record and a #17 ranking. Northwestern just lost to a bad Indiana team. Minnesota went on the road and dominated Purdue. I take the team with more momentum.
Pick - Minnesota -6.5

Michigan at Purdue (-2) - Big 10 Network - 11:00 am

2 bad teams. Just take the home team.
Pick - Purdue -2

Kansas State at Kansas (-10.5) - FSNSW - 11:30 am

Kansas State is pretty bad. They put up a lot of points, but can't stop anyone. Kansas, as I expected, is not enjoying the success they had last year. They're still a good team, even though Texas Tech scored on 20 straight possessions on them. My hate for Kansas State is not enough to think they'll score enough points to hang with Kansas. Kansas needs a good bounceback game at home.
Pick - Kansas -10.5

Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (-4.5) - NBC - 1:30 pm

2 teams I hate the most, Pitt and Notre Dame, have actually put together good seasons. Notre Dame is 5-2 (4-0 at home), and Pitt is 5-2 with a win at South Florida on their resume. This should actually be a decent game. Given that Pitt can beat South Florida on the road, I believe they can beat Notre Dame.
Pick - Pitt +4.5

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-31) - ABC - 2:30 pm

Oklahoma State proved a ton to me last weekend in Austin. Without some sketchy playcalling late, they probably would have won that game. I'm still convinced that is the 2nd best team in the Big 12, with them not being far behind Texas. They have athletes at every position, can actually line up in an I-formation and pound the rock. They are the most balanced, explosive offense in the league. I trust Oklahoma State in a championship game over any other Big 12 team just because they have athletes on both sides of the ball, and can run the ball on anyone. Great teams in title games can shut down passing games. Oklahoma State can ram you. They annihilate Iowa State.
Pick - Oklahoma State -31

Georgia at Florida (-5.5) - CBS - 2:30

Florida looks like they are rounding into form. Ever since their shocking defeat to Ole Miss, they have beaten Arkansas by 31, LSU by 30, and Kentucky by 58. Wow. I'm still not a believer in Georgia. Their offense is not tailored to use their abundance of talent at the skill positions. Their offensive line sucks. And they just don't play well in big games. Give me Florida to continue to roll to the SEC Title game.
DOUBLE PLAY - Florida -5.5

Iowa at Illinois (-2.5) - ESPN - 2:30 pm

Iowa sucks, Illinois is average. But they have more athletes than Iowa, have an explosive quarterback, and are at home. Give me Illinois.
Pick - Illinois -2.5

Clemson at Boston College (-6.5) - ESPNU - 2:30 pm

Clemson is awful. Boston College is good enough to cover a touchdown at home against a team as bad as Clemson. They beat a good Virginia Tech team at home, so taking care of Clemson shouldn't be a problem.
DOUBLE PLAY - Boston College -6.5

BYU (-14.5) at Colorado State - ESPN2 - 5:00 pm

Colorado State historically has been a good home play for me. And I had my eyes opened on BYU a few weeks ago when they got mauled by TCU. I know nothing else but those 2 facts, so I'm going with CSU to keep it close at home.
Pick - Colorado State +14.5

Tennessee at South Carolina (-6) - ESPN2 - 6:00 pm

My rationale for taking South Carolina is simple. Tennessee sucks, their coach is going to get fired, Steve Spurrier owns Phil Fulmer, and it's at South Carolina. Those bullet points are all you need to know.
Pick - South Carolina -6

Texas (-4) at Texas Tech - ABC - 7:00 pm

To Texas, there have been bigger games and more meaningful ones. But to Tech, this is the biggest game of the school's history. Never mind that they have to play Oklahoma and Oklahoma State after this weekend. Everyone forgets about that. As bad as Texas's murderer's row was for the past 4 weeks, they're done after this Saturday. Win, and they can coast into the Big 12 title game. Texas Tech's murderer's row is just beginning.

So whether Tech win this weekend or not really means nothing to me, I think one of the Oklahoma schools takes care of them. And I think this Texas team has that undeniable "it" factor. I've been harping on them all year, and they have beaten Oklahoma, Missouri, and Oklahoma State. Why would they stop at Texas Tech? The train chugs on down in Austin.
Pick - Texas -4

Nebraska at Oklahoma (-22) - ESPN - 7:00 pm

Probably the game I've been looking forward to all year. Never mind that Nebraska could get their brains beat in. Never mind that they're severely outmatched. Never mind that they're 22 point underdogs. All I care about is what this matchup means to me and how I was raised on this matchup. This game has conjured up all kinds of heritage, roots, and historic memories for me this week. It's been fun remembering just how important this game used to be and all the memories that go with the game. For nostalgic sake, I'd love a close game. But the realist in me says Oklahoma-44, Nebraska-17. And it's a double play unfortunately.
DOUBLE PLAY - OKLAHOMA -22

TCU (-14) at UNLV - CBSSC - 7:00 pm

I think TCU is the strongest of the non-BCS teams out there. They just had the misfortune of scheduling Oklahoma and getting a loss on their record. UNLV actually hasn't been as bad their record indicates. They have been in most every game they've played, and have barely lost to Air Force, BYU, Colorado State and have wins over Arizona State and Iowa State (2 BCS conference schools). I think they're due for a tight win in conference. As much as I love TCU, I think UNLV plays them close and has a chance to win in the 4th quarter.
Pick - UNLV +14

Utah (-7.5) at New Mexico - Mtn Network - 8:30 pm

New Mexico is not a bad team. Utah is overrated. New Mexico has a good running back who can control the clock. They will play Utah tough. They may even win this game.
Pick - New Mexico +7.5


Crown Game



Arizona State at Oregon State (-14.5) - FSNSW - 9:15 pm

This has to win the prize for biggest line movement in a week's time. What started out as a 9 point favorite has ballooned into 14.5 points, and we're only to Thursday. Look for at least another 1 or 2 points movement by kickoff. Arizona State is awful. Oregon State is talented and at home. They have a running game that should keep ASU's offense on the sideline. A very good crown game here, hopefully there's lots of fog, rain, and a rowdy crowd.
Pick - Oregon State -14.5

Saturday, October 18, 2008


- Not much time for write-ups, just take these double plays.....

DOUBLE PLAYS
Louisiana-Monroe -18
Oklahoma State -18
Arizona +2.5
Tulsa -18
Troy -10
Iowa State +8

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- An absolutely miserable picking weekend for me. Confidence is at a season low, need a big one this weekend....

Last week - 7-17-1
YTD - 65-74-4


Thursday

BYU at TCU (1.5) - Versus - 7:00 pm

I'm really not sure how TCU is favored in this. I know they're at home, but it's not like Amon Carter Stadium is The Swamp. They have a backup QB playing. They played like crap in their game a week ago, against a bad Colorado State team. BYU has a passing offense that can score on just about anyone. They've been way more impressive in their games than TCU. TCU has also lost its last 7 Thursday night ESPN games. Give me the more talented team.
Pick - BYU +1.5

Florida State (-10.5) at NC State - ESPN - 6:45 pm

2 teams that are really bad. This should be an ugly, offensively-challenged, horrible game to watch. I don't plan on tuning in. There's nothing in this game to get me to watch it.
Pick - NC State +10.5


Friday

Hawaii at Boise State (-24.5) - ESPN - 7:00 pm

Boise is another good non-BCS team. Hawaii hasn't looked bad in the past few weeks, covering spreads and giving more talented teams problems. That ends this week. Boise employs a power running game that will beat Hawaii into submission. Add in a decent play-action passing game led by freshman Kellen Moore, and this will be another blowout for Boise.
Pick - Boise State -24.5

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- A below average picking performance last weekend was saved by my double and triple plays. Somehow I managed to finish 3 games up for the weekend.

Last week - 16-13-1
YTD - 58-57-3


DOUBLE PLAYS
- West Virginia -24
- Miami -17
- Oregon -17.5

TRIPLE PLAY
- Texas Tech -20.5



Thursday

Clemson at Wake Forest (-2.5) - ESPN - 6:30 pm

Wake Forest is a very good team, and I'm not sure what the hell happened against Navy. I like their coach too much to expect them to come out flat again, especially against a conference rival. Clemson is just too inconsistent and too overrated for me to trust them on the road.
Pick - Wake Forest -2.5

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (-135) - FOX - 7:22 pm

I'm going with reverse psychology on this one. I hate the city of Philadelphia and all the pukes who live there. The crowd is fun to watch, they're one of the best in the league. But my favorite thing to watch is Philly fans getting suckerpunched by defeat. They have never won anything as a city, and they have a stepchild complex with NYC and Boston. I'm picking the home team on this one, but I want the Dodgers to win. So I win either way.
Pick - Philadelphia -135


Friday

Louisville (-6.5) at Memphis - ESPN - 7:00 pm

These are 2 pretty bad teams. I really don't know much, I've only seen Louisville a few times this year, and they haven't impressed me much. Memphis sucks as well, but they're at home and getting almost a touchdown. Louisville is not good enough to cover a TD on the road against anyone.
Pick - Memphis +6.5

Boston at Tampa Bay (-105) - TBS - 7:37 pm

This will be a very intense series, these teams hate each other. It will also be a very home team-intensive series. Tampa and Boston will both take care of business at home, with Tampa winning a Game 7 in the Tropicana Toilet. Tampa takes Game 1.
Pick - Tampa Bay -105


Saturday

Oklahoma (-7) at Texas - ABC - 11:00 am

The game of the day is being played during hangover hours. Lots of red eyes will be watching this one. A hard one to pick with the spread, but easy to pick straight up.

Why Oklahoma wins:
1) An offense that has yet to give in to a pass rush, allowing Sam Bradford to pick defenses apart at a historic rate.
2) Texas gets mind F'ed by Oklahoma. That is bigger than talent levels in most years when these 2 teams meet. Oklahoma has a mindset of taking no bullshat from anyone that is cultivated from their coach. Texas has a soft mentality cultivated from their preacher coach.
3) Defense is fast as hell, and Texas doesn't have a run game outside of Colt McCoy. Oklahoma will shut him down and force Texas's RB's to produce.
4) Bradford, given he gets protection (see #1), will absolutely pick apart a young, no-name secondary.

Why Texas wins:
1) Colt McCoy grows his legend and plays out of his mind. He keeps his running and throwing freak show going, and doesn't let the fact that they don't have a star running back affect outcome of the game.
2) Texas could have the best offensive line in the nation, allowing McCoy time to run and throw effectively.
3) Will Muschamp devising a way to get pressure on Bradford. Bradford is only as good as his offensive line allows him to be. He can't run, he can't avoid the rush, and he's not a scrambler. Get pressure on him, and the Oklahoma offense suddenly becomes average.
4) Special teams. Texas blocks kicks at an historic rate. As an underdog, they may need one of these.

That said, Oklahoma's pros outweigh Texas's pro's. I just can't see Texas getting enough pressure on Bradford, and I'll take Stoops over Mack any day of the week. As long as VY isn't playing.

Pick - Oklahoma -7


Minnesota at Illinois (-12.5) - ESPN - 11:00 am
As long as the Juice is playing well, Illinois can hang with anyone. Ron Zook may be a terrible coach, but he has brought athletes to Illinois. Minnesota doesn't have a very good defense, allowing some lower level teams to get into the upper 20's and 30's on them. Juice Williams is hot right now, throwing for 310 and 2 TD's, and running for 120 and 2 TD's last week at Michigan. He comes home and rolls over Minnesota.
Pick - Illinois -12.5

Syracuse at West Virginia (-24) - ESPNU - 11:00 am

Syracuse is awful. West Virginia is average, but at home, against a terrible Syracuse team, they roll to 50 points.
DOUBLE PLAY - West Virginia -24

Toledo at Michigan (-16) - Big 10 Network - 11:00 am

Michigan got rolled up on at home last week to Illinois, quickly bringing people back to earth after the Wisconsin upset. Toledo doesn't have much, they almost beat Fresno at home, but that didn't prove to be very impressive after Fresno lost to Hawaii at home last week. So I'm not sure what to think. I guess give me Michigan.
Pick - Michigan -16

Colorado at Kansas (-14) - ESPN2 - 11:30 am

Kansas needed a historical comeback last week in Ames. They struggled against a mobile, dual threat QB. Cody Hawkins is mobile, but he doesn't present the same problems that the ISU QB did. Colorado is terrible on defense, and terrible on the road. Kansas comes home and plays a solid game after last week's scare.
Pick - Kansas -14

Nebraska at Texas Tech (-20.5) - FSNSW - 2:00 pm

While Bo sifts through the Callahan mess and attempts to field a competitive team this year, I will take advantage and do Triple Plays against all ranked teams they play this year. It is really a miserable time in Lincoln. 40+ years spent building the most consistently dominant team in college football was wrecked in 4 years by an NFL con-man. It's truly depressing.
TRIPLE PLAY - TEXAS TECH -20.5

Arizona State at USC (-27.5) - ABC - 2:30 pm

Arizona State is pretty bad. Rudy Carpenter is banged up, they can't run the ball, they can't protect the QB, and their defense is awful. After yet another early season shocking loss, USC is going to roll through the rest of their schedule and be there at the end. They don't deserve anything more than a Rose Bowl bid, but they more than likley will roll through the schedule and have 1 loss.
Pick - USC -27.5

Tennessee at Georgia (-12) - CBS - 2:30 pm

Georgia is quickly buckling under inflated expectations. Tennessee is terrible all around. I just don't trust either team. I don't trust Georgia to blow anyone out. And I don't trust Tennessee to keep it close on the road. I'm conflicted. Give me the points I guess.
Pick - Tennessee +12

Purdue at Ohio State (-19) - ESPN - 2:30 pm

Purdue is pretty bad against the run, and has disappointed me on offense. Chris Wells is healthy and Tyrelle Pryor is firmly entrenched as the QB. They will begin to roll through teams in the Big 10.
Pick - Ohio State -19

Michigan State (-1.5) at Northwestern - ESPN2 - 2:30 pm

Another tough game to pick. Northwestern is 5-0, with Iowa being their best win. Michigan State has won 5 in a row after a season opening loss at Cal. In this case, I'd lean towards the team I think has more talent (MSU), and against a potential fluke team with a history of being average (NW).
Pick - Michigan State -1.5

TCU (-15) at Colorado State - CBSCS - 2:30 pm

TCU is a really good team. They do just about everything well. But Colorado State is very tough at home, and I have to take them with 15 points. TCU definitely wins, but 15 points on the road is just too much against a team that's 3-0 at home this year.
Pick - Colorado State +15

Central Florida at Miami (-17) - ESPNU - 2:45 pm

Miami actually looked decent on offense last week. UCF is pretty bad, one of the worst teams in the nation. Miami uses that offensive momentum to roll UCF this week. Too many athletes.
DOUBLE PLAY - Miami -17

Iowa State at Baylor (-4.5) - FCS - 6:00 pm

Baylor has a great coach in Art Briles who will get that program to heights it has never seen. They have a great QB in Robert Griffin who will be a major selling point to potential recruits for the next 3 years. I fully expect Baylor to pass Texas A&M in the next couple years. This will be a very entertaining game with 2 very good, young dual threat QB's. Give me the home team.
Pick - Baylor -4.5

LSU at Florida (-6) - CBS - 7:00 pm

If Texas-Oklahoma wasn't being played, this would be the no doubt game of the day. I'm not sure why Florida is laying 6 points in this one. LSU proved it could go on the road and beat Auburn. Say what you want about Auburn and their offense, but they're a top 25 team, with speed on both sides of the ball, and a bear to beat at home. LSU's defense is more than capable of defending Florida's disappointing offense. I'm not sure if LSU wins outright, but they cover 6 points.
Pick - LSU +6

Penn State (-5.5) at Wisconsin - ESPN - 7:00 pm

I have 2 things going for this pick. Wisconsin is bound to win a game after melting down 2 weeks in a row to Michigan and Ohio State. Penn State is not a top 10 team, and is just due for a loss. I have to take a ready to win Wisconsin team at home, at night, against a potentially overrated Penn State team.
Pick - Wisconsin +5.5

Oklahoma State at Missouri (-14) - ESPN2 - 7:00 pm

Not the biggest game of the day, but potentially the most exciting. Both offenses live in the 50's, with both scoring 50+ in 4 of their 5 games. Missouri has yet to be held to a 3 and out on offense. Both defenses suck, so the possibility of a blowout on either side is unlikely. Last team with the ball wins.
Pick - Oklahoma State +14


CROWN GAME



UCLA at Oregon (-17.5) - FSNSW - 10:00 pm

A very late Crown Game, even by Crown Game standards. This will be a nice nightcap. Expect tons of offense for Oregon, and expect to enjoy watching Rick Neuheisel look very feminine on the sideline. Oregon rolls.
DOUBLE PLAY - Oregon -17.5

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- Another bad week last week, but I'm feeling a 75% weekend here.....A few Double Plays this weekend.

Last Week - 8-11
YTD - 42-44-2

DOUBLE PLAYS -

- South Florida -13.5
- Texas Tech -7.5
- Central Florida -13.5
- TCU -24.5
- Oregon +16.5

TRIPLE PLAY

- Missouri -10.5


Thursday

Pittsburgh at South Florida (-13.5) - ESPN - 6:30 pm

As has been written in this space in the past, I hate Pittsburgh. It's well chronicled. South Florida is everything that Pittsburgh isn't. Athletic, fast on offense and defense, have a competent QB, and a great homefield advantage. This game won't even be close. South Florida is going to sneak up on voters this year. Everyone else in the country is going to cannabalize each other, and South Florida is going to roll through their schedule with no problem. Check their schedule sometime.
DOUBLE PLAY - South Florida -13.5

Oregon State at Utah (-11.5) - Versus - 8:00 pm

Oregon State woke up last week. I had them as my sleeper pick in the PAC-10 before the season started, and they let me down until they knocked out USC. Utah should have lost to Air Force, and is a decent team, but not BCS-worthy like everyone thinks. Of the non-BCS teams that could contend for a BCS bowl (BYU, Utah, Boise State, and TCU), Utah looks to be the weakest. I'll take the 11.5 points and bet on the PAC-10 finally showing some nuts against the Mountain West.
Pick - Oregon State +11.5


Friday

Cincinnati (-3.5) at Marshall - ESPN - 7:00 pm

I like Cincinnati a lot. I think Brian Kelly is a great coach, and probably will be at a major program within 2-3 years. I know nothing else about this game. Take Cincinnati.
Pick - Cincinnati -3.5


Saturday

Penn State (-13) at Purdue - ESPN - 11:00 am

Purdue somehow lost by 14 to Notre Dame last week. I guess I overrated Purdue's offense, didn't expect them to only score 21 against a pitiful Notre Dame team. I'm not a huge believer in Penn State. Not convinced that they've played anyone of substance, I don't count an overrated Illinois team. I can see Purdue rising up at home and scoring some points, and keeping it within 2 touchdowns.
Pick - Purdue +13

Iowa at Michigan State (-7.5) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

Michigan State is not a bad team. They lost a tough game out in California in week 1 and have been unbeaten ever since. They have a stud at RB in Javon Ringer. Iowa is pretty bad, losing to Northwestern, barely beating Iowa State, and losing to Pittsburgh. Michigan State rolls them.
Pick - Michigan State -7.5

Duke at Georgia Tech (-14) - ESPNU - 11:00 am

How Duke is 3-1 is beyond me. I don't care who they've played, to be 3-1 after 4 games is a huge accomplishment for the worst football program in America. Georgia Tech is a good team, and I love their triple option running attack. Duke can't keep up with this team. Georgia Tech should have beaten Virginia Tech and should be undefeated right now. They routed Mississippi State, who only lost to LSU by 10 pts. And also went on the road and beat Boston College, which is always a tough thing to do. They take care of Duke big at home.
Pick - Georgia Tech -14

Indiana at Minnesota (-7) - Big 10 Network - 11:00 am

The parade of Big 10 games continues. Minnesota played Ohio State tough last week, although I'm not sure how pumped Ohio State was for the game. But they still played them within 13 points on the road. Indiana has had some wind let out of their sail these past 2 weeks with losses at home to Ball State and Michigan State, but I still think they're a better team than Minnesota. They bounce back this week with a close game against Minnesota.
Pick - Indiana +7

Oklahoma (-26.5) at Baylor - FSNSW - 11:30 am

This could be the smallest line that has been set in this series in a while. Baylor, while never playing Oklahoma close enough to scare them, (outside of a 37-30 loss in 2005) never really gets hammered at the same time. With athleticism at QB and a great offensive mind in Art Briles, I can see them covering this spread at home.
Pick - Baylor +26.5

Kansas (-12.5) at Iowa State - Versus - 11:30 am

Iowa State is terrible. Kansas is a good team, on the 2nd level of Big 12 contenders. Covering 12.5 points against a bad team like Iowa State should be no big deal.
Pick - Kansas -12.5

Stanford at Notre Dame (-7) - NBC - 2:30 pm

I just can't do it. I can't take Notre Dame at any point this year, if ever. If San Diego State can almost beat Notre Dame at home, Stanford surely can keep it close.
Pick - Stanford +7

Texas Tech (-7.5) at Kansas State - ABC - 2:30 pm

Texas Tech is just waiting to blow someone out of the water. I watched the Kansas State-Lousiville game and couldn't figure out what the love affair with Josh Freeman is. That guy gets so much hype for having such a bag of nothing. He looked terrible. Kansas State lost to a mediocre Louisville team, and Texas Tech is a legit Top 10 team this year. They beat Kansas State big.
DOUBLE PLAY - Texas Tech -7.5

Kentucky at Alabama (-16.5) - CBS - 2:30 pm

I'm still not hopping on the bandwagon. Alabama is good, but they're not championship worthy. John Parker Wilson is possibly the worst 4 year starting QB of all time. I could walk into any High School in the DFW area and find dudes with stronger arms than him. Yes they beat Georgia, but how good is Georgia?? They look to be nothing more than a product of preseason media hype, with no substance behind them. I still hold true to my statement from last week, "Alabama will lose 4 games this year." I'll stand by that. Kentucky has a good defense and will keep this close, as most Alabama games are played within 10 points anyway.
Pick - Kentucky +16.5

Illinois at Michigan (-2.5) - ESPN2 - 2:30 pm

Illinois, while nothing special, has an athletic QB who should give Michigan problems. Michigan played out of their minds in the 4th quarter last week, and have shot their load. Illinois comes in and wins easily.
Pick - Illinois +2.5

SMU at Central Florida (-13.5) - CBSCS - 2:30 pm

There are 2 teams you should bet against every week, SMU and North Texas. And if either of those teams are on the road? Make them Double Plays. SMU is terrible. UCF has a great homefield advantage and too much speed.
DOUBLE PLAY - Central Florida -13.5

Navy at Air Force (-6) - Versus - 3:00 pm

A good, American game right here. Air Force should have beaten Utah. Navy beat Wake Forest. Both are decent teams. I know nothing else, except that I bet it's a close game.
Pick - Navy +6

Auburn (-4) at Vanderbilt - ESPN - 5:00 pm

Vandy is the most surprising 5-0 team in the nation right now. They have a good QB and a good offense overall. They will definitely fall back to being Vanderbilt at some point this year, but I can see them pulling an upset here. Auburn has played 1 road game this year, at Mississippi State, and that was the 3-2 barnburner. With that info, and with how Auburn always plays close games (14-12 last week vs. Tennessee), give me the home team with the points and the momentum of an undefeated season.
Pick - Vanderbilt +4

San Diego State at TCU (-24.5) - MTN - 5:00 pm

TCU is a damn good team. Don't look at last week's result and draw conclusions. Oklahoma is on another level compared with the rest of the nation. TCU plays suffocating defense, has a good enough offense to put up 30 points every week in the Mountain West, and is very well coached. They will take out their frustration on SDSU.
DOUBLE PLAY - TCU -24.5

UConn at North Carolina (-7) - ESPN2 - 6:00 pm
North Carolina showed me a ton last weekend, winning on the road with a backup QB playing. They were definitely on my radar before the year, as I picked them as the winner of the ACC. Like last week, I think they show again that the QB injury isn't going to affect them. Butch Davis is too good of a defensive coach to let UConn beat them. That QB for UConn is terrible throwing the ball, seriously looks like a girl shot-putting it. Butch is salivating right now.
Pick - North Carolina -7

Texas (-13.5) at Colorado - FSNSW - 6:00 pm

Texas looks really strong this year. A fast, nasty defense. A QB playing at an historically efficient level. A dominating offensive line. And the luxury of being overlooked and underhyped. Texas has proven they don't play well when the target is on their back. All of that being said, Colorado is a different team at home. They have a history of playing top teams tough at home (see: Oklahoma's loss last year in Boulder). I think they keep it very close, but Colt McCoy will lead UT on a game-winning drive in the 4th quarter.
Pick - Colorado +13.5

Maryland (-13.5) at Virginia - ESPNU - 6:00 pm

Any team that loses 31-3 to Duke I have to bet against on a weekly basis. Virginia is terrible and Maryland isn't great, but they're good enough to beat them by 2 touchdowns.
Pick - Maryland -13.5

Washington at Arizona (-21.5) - Versus - 6:30 pm

Washington is 0-4 somehow. With perhaps the most talented QB in the conference, they've looked pretty bad this year. They've been blown out, they've lost heartbreakers, etc. It's been a terrible year so far for Washington, and the season is only 5 weeks old. It's going to be a long, painful season. Arizona has won big in 3 of their 4 games, with only a strange loss to New Mexico mixed in there. They are not a bad team. But I think Washington is going to put together a good game at some point soon, I believe in Jake Locker too much.
Pick - Washington +21.5

Oregon at USC (-16.5) - ABC - 7:00 pm

Oregon has a great offense, and is really talented, on both sides of the ball. They've only lost at home to a pretty good Boise State team. USC has proven to be very average and methodical on offense, and not as good as I thought they would be on defense. It seems you can run at them and overpower them. Oregon averages 300 yards rushing a game through 5 games and will be able to run on USC and keep it close. Bare-minimum USC lets teams hang around, their offense just doesn't blow anyone out.
DOUBLE PLAY - Oregon +16.5

Rice at Tulsa (-14) - CBSCS - 7:00 pm

This game could be 70-70 late in the 4th, with the last team holding the ball winning. Tulsa averages over 600 yards a game on offense, and Rice just scored 77 points in 3 quarters last weekend. This could be one of the most underratedly exciting games of the weekend.
Pick - Rice +14


CROWN GAME



Missouri (-10.5) at Nebraska - ESPN - 8:00 pm

Missouri is clicking on all cylinders. Their offense is damn near unstoppable. I see them going undefeated and meeting an undefeated Oklahoma team in the Big 12 Title Game, producing the most exciting Conference Championship game the Big 12 has ever seen. Nebraska severely disappointed me last weekend by laying an egg on offense at home to a mediocre Virginia Tech team. The Nebraska defense also couldn't slow down an average VT offense, and will get absolutely hammered by the best offense in the Big 12. The 30 year winning streak in Lincoln vs. Missouri ends in horrible fashion this week. This is the best bet of the weekend.
TRIPLE PLAY -
MISSOURI 56
NEBRASKA 21

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- A mediocre week last week.

Last week - 9-9-1
YTD - 34-33-2


Thursday

USC (-25.5) at Oregon State - ESPN - 8:00 pm

USC has looked very impressive so far this year. They really do seem to have everything this year, a good QB, a fast and nasty defense, and a ball control, pounding offense that can also spring for some big plays in the passing game. However, there is something I can't really explain about USC. They just don't wow me like some of the other USC teams of the past 5-6 years. Those teams would go on the road in conference and take care of business and cover 20+ point spreads. These post-Leinart and Bush USC teams seem to play down to their opponents when they go on the road. Oregon State is terrible, losing to Stanford and getting blown out by Penn State. However, they have history of playing USC tough in Corvallis. 26 points is just too much.
Pick - Oregon State +25.5


Friday

Connecticut at Louisville (-3.5) - ESPN2 - 7:00 pm

Louisville has a great defense and is at home, fresh off a big win against Rutgers. Connecticut is terribly 1-dimensional, yet talented at the same time. But I just couldn't believe how ridiculous that UCONN QB looked when he attempted to throw passes. Louisville is the best in the Big East at stopping the only thing that UCONN does well, running the ball. The UCONN QB is going to be forced to throw the ball, and that won't go well.
Pick - Louisville -3.5


Saturday

Michigan State (-8) at Indiana - ESPN - 11:00 am

Indiana has a great offense, and mobile QB. They can score points. Michigan State has a great running game, but has not wowed me as a whole this year. I have to take a good offense, at home, against a mediocre team, with 8 points.
Pick - Indiana +8

North Carolina at Miami (-7.5) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

Up until last week, I had North Carolina as my sleeper to win the weak ACC. Now that their starting QB has been lost for the year, and they are now relying on a freshman, all bets are off. As average as I think Miami is, they still have tons of athletes to harass that new QB, and they have enough skill position speed to cover a TD at home.
Pick - Miami -7.5

Minnesota at Ohio State (-18) - Big 10 Network - 11:00 am

Minnesota is somehow 4-0, beating up on 1-AA and the worst Division 1 programs in the country. Ohio State now has their future in play at the QB position, and I expect gradual improvement every week. Ohio State has too much talent to let a team like Minnesota hang with them at home. Pryor is good for 100 yards rushing, and 3 total TD's in this one.
Pick - Ohio State -18

Army at Texas A&M (-28) - Versus - 11:30 am

Texas A&M is terrible. They're worse off with Mike Sherman than Nebraska was with Bill Callahan. At least Callahan could recruit speed and have a top offense. Sherman is nothing more than an NFL digit-head. Terrible, rushed hire by knucklehead AD Bill Byrne, who's more concerned with the women's rifle team than with building a top-flight football program. Give me Army just out of principle and my hate of the NFL.
Pick - Army +28

Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) - ABC - 2:30 pm

Arkansas is terrible. Barely beating 2 directional schools, and then getting pounded by an average Alabama team (don't believe the hype on Bama) at home. Just an awful team. Texas, as I've stated previously, is flying under the radar compared with other Big 12 teams such as Missouri, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. They are really going to surprise some people. Colt McCoy is playing as well as anyone at the QB position. The offensive line is back to 2005 levels. And the defense has a new, nasty approach with Muschamp at the helm. They absolutely kill Arkansas.
Pick - Texas -27.5

Purdue at Notre Dame (-1) - NBC - 2:30 pm

How Notre Dame can be favored against any team is beyond me. Charlie Weis sucks. Notre Dame's offense sucks. The whole program is just crap. Weis touted his "schematic advantage over every team they play" on offense, and they struggle to score TD's against San Diego State. Purdue has too much offense for Notre Dame to keep up.
Pick - Purdue +1

Tennessee at Auburn (-6.5) - CBS - 2:30 pm

Tennessee is in disarray. This program has been spiraling downward ever since 1999, when they won the title. It's been a consistently average program for the past 10 years. I really can't see Fulmer still having a job in December. Auburn has a really good team, a below average offense, and nasty defense. Tennessee got embarassed at home last week to Florida, scoring only 6 points, and that's after getting embarassed by a bottom feeder in the worst conference in the nation (UCLA, Pac-10), and the embarassment will continue. No way Auburn loses 2 in a row at home, not with this good of a team.
Pick - Auburn -6.5

Wisconsin (-6) at Michigan - ESPN - 2:30 pm

Another program that I just love watching squirm and wallow in mediocrity and misery. Michigan just sucks. They'll be good eventually, just because Rich Rodriguez is a good coach and he will eventually get athletes for his offensive system, but right now, the cupboard's bare. Wisconsin has proven it can win on the road against a good team (Fresno State), and they're going against a far inferior team in Michigan.
Pick - Wisconsin -6

Houston at East Carolina (-10.5) - CBSCS - 2:30 pm

Somehow Houston lost to a terrible Colorado State last week. East Carolina somehow lost to an even worse NC State team last week. In situations like this, you have to look at both teams, decide which one's loss was more of a fluke, and bet that they rebound the following week. In this case, no doubt that it's ECU.
Pick - East Carolina -10.5

Navy at Wake Forest (-16) - ESPNU - 2:45 pm

Wake Forest dominated Florida State on the road last week. This is a good team. Well coached, disciplined, and smart. They dominate Navy.
Pick - Wake Forest -16

North Texas at Rice (-17.5) - Ch. 21 - 4:00 pm

Poor North Texas. How can a team be this terrible? Rice is not a bad team. They play tough and beat teams they should. They really can be a good team within their own demographic (i.e. their conference). They rout North Texas.
DOUBLE PLAY - Pick - Rice -17.5

TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) - FSNSW - 6:00 pm

TCU is undefeated, confident, and has a great defense. They went into Norman in 2005 and shocked the world by beating a top 5 Oklahoma team. That year's Oklahoma team was just a tad overrated. This year's team is not. They are a totally different animal this year. TCU doesn't have near the offense to hang with Oklahoma. They may be able to slow the Oklahoma offense, but they may not score 10 points for the whole game. Stoops will not be caught off guard again against TCU.
Pick - Oklahoma -18.5

Mississippi State at LSU (-24) - ESPN2 - 6:30 pm

LSU won another thriller and an emotional game against Auburn last week. The dominating thought would be that they would have a letdown this week, against an inferior opponent, and in a far less intense environment. Not LSU, they're way too talented for that to happen.
Pick - LSU -24

South Florida (-8.5) at NC State - ESPNU - 6:30 pm

NC State somehow snuck up on East Carolina last week and upset them at home. There is no way they should have been able to beat ECU. South Florida has too many athletes, has proven it can win on the road, and no way NC State has anything left in the tank to beat a much more talented South Florida team. South Florida is damn good, and will put NC State in their place.
Pick - South Florida -8.5

Alabama at Georgia (-7) - ESPN - 6:45 pm

Alabama is a classic case of the media hyping up a signature program of a sport the minute they look like they have a sliver of hope of being good again. Alabama is not that good. They beat an overhyped Clemson team, a terrible Arkansas team, and has looked average in the other 2 games. Georgia beats them by 14 points. Alabama will lose 4 games this year, mark it down.
Pick - Georgia -7

Virginia Tech at Nebraska (-7) - ABC - 7:00 pm

I'm still not sure what to think of Nebraska. The new coaches have definitely changed the culture back to what Nebraska should be. They are more disciplined, more passionate, and there's definitely a better vibe than what was seen for the past 4 years. That said, they couldn't run the ball effectively against inferior teams, their defense has looked average, and the passing game hasn't been as good as I thought it would be. Virginia Tech is an ugly team. An ugly offense. A good defense. They definitely keep it close, and this game more than likely a 3 point game, with either team having equal chances of winning.
Pick - Virginia Tech +3

NO CROWN GAME

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Weekend TV Preview

- In the spirit of the famous Leprechaun video, another gem from the Dirty South.....


On to picks.....a terrible week last week.

Last weekend - 3-10-1
YTD - 25-24-1


Thursday

West Virginia (-3) at Colorado - ESPN - 7:30 pm
West Virginia has officially burned me. They have proven to be woefully 1-dimensional, getting embarassed against East Carolina, scoring 3 points, throwing for 75 yards, and only rushing for 179 yards. 1 dimensional teams do not do well on the road, against a rowdy crowd, and an inspired team. Colorado, when inspired and playing what they perceive as a good team, can be dangerous as hell. Give me points, and give me another bad performance passing by Pat White.
Pick - Colorado +3


Friday

Baylor at UCONN (-12) - ESPN2 - 7:00 pm

Baylor has posted back to back blowout wins at home, with Robert Griffin running and throwing with efficiency and electricity. I really don't know much about UCONN, except that they have a decent team and have really risen from the ranks of the cellar in the past few years. Baylor is still bad, and they're on the road, and I'll take a home favorite of less than 14 points against Baylor any day of the week.
Pick - UCONN -12


Saturday

East Carolina (-7.5) at NC State - ESPN - 11:00 am

East Carolina is this year's South Florida or Rutgers. An out of nowhere team that has caught the media's attention, and now they're all you hear about. They are no doubt a good team, and they will get exposed at some point this year, but NC State is the worst major conference team in America. 2 blowout losses by below average teams (Clemson and South Carolina), and 1 ten point win against William & Mary. They get hammered at home.
Pick - East Carolina -7.5

Iowa at Pittsburgh (-1) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

If it involves Pitt, I hate it. I hate their offense, their style of play, their city, their stadium. I get depressed when Pitt is on TV and at home. I hate their Athletic Director, Steve Pederson for single handedly setting Nebraska back 10 years. I hate Dave Wannstedt for being an absolutely terrible in-game head coach. I hate their stadium, a stale, boring professional stadium that is never even 50% full and turns into a dirt field come October. And I hate Pittsburgh the city, it's a nasty, industrialized, depressing piece of crap hole in the earth.
Pick - Iowa +1

Troy at Ohio State (-21) - Big 10 Network - 11:00 am

Another team I despise, Ohio State. All the hype in the world due to the East Coast Media Hype Machine. And consistently failing when it comes to hanging with top teams in the nation. For a small school, Troy has talent and speed. They have the goods to hang with the big boys. Have to take Troy with 3 TD's out of principle. After watching Ohio U hang with Ohio State, give me Troy.
Pick - Troy +21

Central Florida at Boston College (-10.5) - ESPNU - 12:00 pm

Central Florida gave South Florida a really tough game last week. This is a good team with tons of speed and good weapons. Boston College is not a bad team, but they're not a good team either. Someone with speed at the skill positions can hang with them. And since it's not November and in the 30's, I give UCF a fighting chance.
Pick - UCF +10.5

Arizona (-2.5) at UCLA - FSNSW - 2:00 pm

This game baffles me. UCLA has played 1 good half (2nd half vs. Tennessee), and has played like the worst team in the nation the rest of the time. 59-0 at BYU? Arizona killed 2 bad teams at home, and then went and lost at New Mexico, a very weak team who got beat at home by an even weaker team, Texas A&M. I guess give me the home team with points, and who at least has Norm Chow and Rick Neuheisel on their sidelines.
Pick - UCLA +2.5

Miami (-4) at Texas A&M - ABC - 2:30 pm

Texas A&M is pretty bad. All around, just a bad team. It's crazy to think that they may not even be better than Baylor this year. Miami has a great defense (as shown in their game at Florida), and has tons of speed as always. But the offense and the QB is not very good, no matter what Musburger and Herbstreit said last week as they were trying to induct him into the Hall of Fame during the game. Look for an ugly, defensive game and Miami winning by a score of about 17-6.
Pick - Miami -4

Florida (-7.5) at Tennessee - CBS - 2:30 pm

Florida didn't look overly impressive against Miami at home. The offensive line and running game didn't look good at all. Not good when you can't run the ball on the road in the SEC. Tennessee has just enough talent to either pull this one out, or keep it within 7 points. They will be able to contain the Florida offense for the most part. The question is whether they'll be able to generate any points against Florida. Either way, expect a close game.
Pick - Tennessee +7.5

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-8.5) - NBC - 2:30 pm

Meet yet another program that draws my ire. Notre Dame, another queen of the East Coast Media Hype Machine, goes to Michigan State this week. MSU is not a bad team, barely losing on the road at Cal, and winning comfortably in the 2 other games. Notre Dame beat a bad Michigan team, and needed supreme luck against San Diego State at home just to sneak away with a win. Michigan State will roll them. Charlie Weis's schematic advantage that he claims he owns over every program in college football will blow up in his face yet again.
DOUBLE PLAY
Pick - Michigan State -8.5

Utah (-7.5) at Air Force - Versus - 3:00 pm

Utah has dreams of the BCS, and has a really good team. A versatile, experienced QB and great coaching. Air Force always plays tough, no matter how out-manned they may be. I expect a tough game for Utah, with them barely sneaking out with a win. Air Force can grind out clock, and should have a good home crowd making things tough. But expect a Utah win.
Pick - Air Force +7.5

Wake Forest at Florida State (-4) - ESPN2 - 6:00 pm

Florida State could be on the way back to respectability, but I need more evidence than beating two 1-AA teams at home. Wake Forest is good team, very disclipined, well coached, and has already beaten 2 major conference teams. I'm a Jim Grobe fan and a believer. Give me the 4 points.
Pick - Wake Forest +4

Rice at Texas (-30.5) - FSNSW - 6:00 pm

Texas is quietly putting on dominating performances. While Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Missouri get all the headlines, Texas is demolishing teams. Their offensive line is back to top form after a down year, Colt McCoy is a year older and is noticeably better built to withstand a pounding. He's also putting up stats that rival Sam Bradford and Chase Daniel. The defense is playing with an edge now with Muschamp doing his best Joe Avezzano fake intensity bit on the sidelines. The only question, the running back situation, doesn't seem to be a problem as long as McCoy keeps picking people apart while barely being touched. Their lack of run game may haunt them at some point, but not against Rice. The roll continues....
Pick - Texas -30.5

Ball State at Indiana (-3) - Big 10 Network - 6:00 pm

Ball State is an exciting team that can put up points on a lot of teams. Indiana also has a really good offense. Both have dual threat QB's that are the main cogs in their team's engines. Expect an unusually exciting offensive game that involves a Big 10 team. This could really be a game where both teams score in the 40's. Give me the home team.
Pick - Indiana -3

LSU (-2.5) at Auburn - ESPN - 6:45 pm

The game of the week. A classic must watch SEC game. Tons of speed. At night with 85,000 screaming, drunk idiots. Great uniforms. SEC pageantry. Ron Franklin on the call. I can't wait. I would like to think LSU all the way on this one, especially after Auburn's 3-2 barnburner last week at Mississippi State. LSU has a new QB, but has talent everywhere else. Auburn's offense is still adjusting to a new spread style, and will not have any leeway against a bad ass LSU defense.
Pick - LSU -2.5

TCU (-24) at SMU - CBSCS - 7:00 pm

A potentially exciting game. June Jones has a chance to end TCU's BCS hopes very early in the season. Something tells me this will be a close game. TCU loves to make games ugly, and SMU will score some points. TCU has a history of playing down to SMU's level.....
Pick - SMU +24

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - ABC - 7:00 pm

Sun Devil Stadium will be loud. Georgia hasn't traveled west of the Mississippi since the 60's. Arizona State is a team that will play terrible against terrible teams, and will rise up against good teams. Dennis Erickson has enough athletes, Rudy Carpenter is a good enough QB to lead them to some points, and Arizona State will win this game. Georgia has a weak offensive line, and that is never a good thing when you're on the road, and fighting against speed and a loud home crowd.
Pick - Arizona State +7 and an outright win

Fresno State (-7) at Toledo - ESPNU - 7:15 pm

Fresno State will make up for a loss last weekend at home to Wisconsin. I have nothing else on this game except I'm a believer in Pat Hill on the road against a lesser team.
Pick - Fresno State -7

NO CROWN GAME

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


Last week - 8-8
YTD - 22-14


Thursday

North Carolina at Rutgers (-5) - ESPN - 6:30 pm

My favorite coach of all time outside of Dr. Tom, Butch Davis takes UNC on the road to Rutgers. Rutgers seems to be living off the legend of Ray Rice, and the 1 good year that they had back in 2006. I think they're severely overrated. North Carolina returned everyone on both sides of the ball from a team last year that was rounding into shape near the end of the year. They have a good, mobile QB, a great group of WR's, and a decent defense. In the weak ACC, they were my sleeper for the conference title. In a few years, they will be the class of the ACC, mark it down.
Pick - UNC +5


Friday

Kansas at South Florida (-3.5) - ESPN2 - 7:00 pm

Why this game isn't on ESPN, I'm not sure. This is going to be a great game. South Florida has athletes all over the field, especially on defense. Kansas is trying to prove last year wasn't a fluke, and fields a very good offense. This should be a primetime Saturday night game. Kansas will prove to be a fluke this year, the schedule set up for them perfectly last year, and this year they will take their lumps and will probably be a 8-9 win team. South Florida has too many athletes and is at home.
Pick - South Florida -3.5


Saturday

California (-14.5) at Maryland - ESPN - 11:00 am

Cal has looked dominant so far this year. Tons of points, stifling opponents on defense. Maryland could be the worst BCS conference team in the nation. They beat Deleware by 7 at home, and then lost to Middle Tennessee State on the road. California will defy my Time Zone Theory and will destroy Maryland.
Pick - California -14.5

Washington State at Baylor (PK) - FSNSW - 11:30 am

Baylor has found a QB, one who can run like the wind and whip the ball around. Too bad he's the only athlete they have. That said, Washington State has looked really bad in their 1st 2 games, and will continue to look bad. Baylor will actually beat a BCS conference team.
Pick - Baylor PK

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) - PPV - 11:30 am

Missouri is my pick this year to win it all. The defense has not impressed me, a championship team cannot be ranked in the 90's in total defense. Missouri and Texas Tech seem to have comparable defenses, and Nevada put up 500 yards on Tech last weekend. Missouri will win this game, and win comfortably, but Nevada will score enough to cover.
Pick - Nevada +26.5

Michigan (-1.5) at Notre Dame - NBC - 2:30 pm

Two programs that haven't done squat in forever. For Michigan, they snuck their way into a title in the pre-BCS era. In today's environment, they get demolished by Nebraska in the championship game in 1997, but that argument is for another time. So other than 1997, they have been painfully mediocre in the painfully mediocre Big 10. Notre Dame has sucked for the past 25 years. This game will suck as well.
Pick - Michigan -1.5

Georgia (-7) at South Carolina - CBS - 2:30 pm

Georgia's first test outside of the Hedges. South Carolina is not very good, has a terrible offense, and got beat by Vandy of all teams. But Steve Spurrier has a history of playing Georgia tough, he has a really good defense that can keep it close, and is at home. Give me a Georgia win, but a South Carolina cover.
Pick - South Carolina +7

UCLA at BYU (-8) - VS - 2:30 pm

Rick Neuheisel and Norm Chow are showing that having superior coaching in college makes a ton of difference. The NFL is more of a player's league and the coach is more of just a caretaker, but if you have top-level coaching in college, that can be worth 2 TD's a game. See the Tennessee game. No way UCLA has as much talent as Tennessee. But they have coaches who can scheme, call plays, and put the talent they have in the best possible position to succeed. The UCLA QB's throws 4 interceptions in the 1st half, the coaches tweak the offensive game plan, come out in the 2nd half, and that same QB kicks ass and directs an upset win. The passing plays were tailored to what that QB does well.
BYU is a good team, but I believe in Chow and Neuheisel.
Pick - UCLA +8

Auburn (-10.5) at Mississippi State - ESPN2 - 6:00 pm

Auburn was another sleeper pick of mine this year. Talented everywhere and with a new, more imaginative scheme on offense. Mississippi State is nothing more than a media darling team. They get rolled at home.
Pick - Auburn -10.5

SMU at Texas Tech (-36.5) - FSNSW - 6:00 pm

After 2 less than impressive wins, Texas Tech is ready to explode. Expect Mike Leach to assault SMU until the final seconds tick away. They could go for 80 on Saturday. Leach will make sure they have at least 1 blow your mind victory in non-conference play. Poor SMU.
Pick - Texas Tech -36.5

New Mexico State at Nebraska (-25) - PPV - 6:00 pm

Nebraska has looked painfully average in the first 2 games of 2008. But they have been painfully average for the past 6 years, so I'm not surprised. Nebraska struggles big time against passing teams. And New Mexico State throws the ball around 60 times a game. They will score points. Chase Holbrook is an experienced, better than average QB. Expect Nebraska to win, but no way they cover 25 points.
Pick - New Mexico State +25

Oklahoma (-20.5) at Washington - ESPN - 6:45 pm

My objective mind tells me that Oklahoma blows Washington out of the water. My wishful thinking mind tells me that I hate Oklahoma with a passion, love watching Jake Locker play football, and thinks that Washington is due for some good luck. And I also remember what happened the last time Oklahoma was in the Pacific Northwest. Give me Washington giving Oklahoma a game at home.
Pick - Washington +20.5

Ohio State at USC (-10.5) - ABC - 7:00 pm

The game of the year according to the media, and more specifically ESPN. A good game awaits, as it should be when 2 top 5 teams meet up. I'm not sure what to expect. I hate the Big 10, I hate the East coast driven Ohio State/Michigan hype machine that shows up year after year, and I'm also aware of how USC has a penchant lately for not handling success and living up to expectations. So I'm just not sure what happens on Saturday. USC should win comfortably, but USC has let me down in the past. Still, I can't take a Big 10 team on the road, against a fast team.
Pick - USC -10.5


CROWN GAME



Wisconsin (-1.5) at Fresno State - ESPN2 - 9:30 pm

A great, great Crown Game. Fresno is a program I love watching year after year. That coach is pure greatness. Never any Mack Brown excuses about playing teams, always have good offenses, and always play BCS conference teams tough. Wisconsin is always a bettor's nightmare. They always disappoint. I have to take Fresno at home with points.
Pick - Fresno State +1.5

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Weekend TV Preview



Against the spread results:

Last Week - 14-6
Year to Date - 14-6

Thursday

South Carolina (-10) at Vanderbilt - ESPN - 7:30 pm

South Carolina dismantled a terrible NC State team last Thursday. I put absolutely no stock in that rout. NC State is a bottom feeder in the worst major conference in the nation. Vandy has a very good QB in Chris Nickson who can run and pass. South Carolina is the better team, but I don't trust their offense to beat a conference team by 10 on the road.
Pick - Vanderbilt +10

Washington at New York (-4) - NBC - 6:00 pm

Don't know much here. I do know that Washington is going to some West Coast attack dependent on quick reads, lots of guys in patterns, and minimal pass protection. The polar opposite of the Joe Gibb's attack used last year. With Jason Campbell at QB. New York eats him alive.
Pick - New York -4


Friday

Navy at Ball State (-7) - ESPN - 6:00 pm

Ball State has a bad ass QB who I remember going into Lincoln last year and absolutely ripping apart Nebraska. Now Nebraska had the worst defense in Division 1-A, but still, they are a major program. Navy has a great ground game that gave Ball State fits last year, but BSU's offense is just too good, and they're at home.
Pick - Ball State -7


Saturday

Ohio at Ohio State (-34) - ESPN - 11:00 am

Solich's boys go into the Horseshoe and should get slaughtered. They only rushed for 39 yards against Wyoming last weekend. Ouch. Ohio State always takes care of mid-level teams early in the year.
Pick - Ohio State -34

Miami (Ohio) at Michigan (-14.5) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

Michigan only a 14.5 point favorite to a team that lost by 21 to Vanderbilt (a below average to average SEC team) at home last weekend. Wow. Michigan has to cover. They just have to.
Pick - Michigan -14.5

Marshall at Wisconsin (-20.5) - Big Ten - 11:00 am

Wisconsin is always a tough team to take when they're playing someone inferior. They almost always play down to the level of the other team, and either barely cover a 20 point spread, or barely even win the game. Blowouts are not this team's forte.
Pick - Marshall +20.5

BYU (-10) at Washington - FSNSW - 2:00 pm

BYU is one of the non-BCS teams vying for an undefeated season and spot in a big bowl. They have a top 5 passing game and a really good QB, Max Hall. Washington looked pretty bad last weekend at Oregon, but Oregon has a kick ass defense and a tough stadium to play in. Washington back at home, with 10 points, with a potentially injured (questionable) Max Hall for BYU. I take points and the home team.
Pick - Washington +10

Cincinnati at Oklahoma (-21.5) - ABC - 2:30 pm

Tough line to pick. Oklahoma looks like they have it all, speed on both sides of the ball, speed at skill positions, and always superior coaching (at least in the regular season). Cincinnati usually puts up a ton of points, but Oklahoma is not an average team, they are top 5-worthy and at home.
Pick - Oklahoma -21.5

San Diego State at Notre Dame (-22) - NBC - 2:30 pm

If this was last year, I'd take SDSU, as bad as they are. But Notre Dame should be improved this year, and will take care of one of the weakest D-1 schools in the nation. SDSU lost to Cal-Poly last week.
Pick - Notre Dame -22

Oregon State at Penn State (-16.5) - ESPN2 - 2:30 pm

A team that can't win at Stanford probably also can't win on the road 3 time zones away and playing against a much better team. Penn State should rise up in the Big 10 and contend for 2nd place.
Pick - Penn State -16.5

West Virginia (-8) at East Carolina - ESPN - 3:30 pm

Another game I'm torn on. ECU has held Pat White in check in the past, but at the same time, I smell a let-down for them a week after an emotional upset of Virginia Tech. West Virginia seems to be pretty motivated and in "screw you" mode after Rich Rodriguez left for Michigan. I see the betting public jumping on the ECU bandwagon, and I see WVU going into ECU and winning by 2 TD's.
Pick - West Virginia -8

Texas A&M (-3) at New Mexico - VS - 4:00 pm

Is A&M really that bad? New Mexico looked bad as well, losing handily to TCU last weekend. TCU, however, is a perennial 10 win team in a semi-major conference. Give me the home team with points.
Pick - New Mexico +3

South Florida (-14) at Central Florida - ESPN2 - 6:00 pm

Kevin Smith is no longer the RB at Central Florida, and South Florida returns everyone. Central Florida has no one on offense to break that stout SFU defense. This could get ugly.
Pick - South Florida -14

Lousiana Tech at Kansas (-20.5) - FSNSW - 6:00 pm

Kansas will take a step back this year. The schedule and lost talent will catch up with them. Louisiana Tech seems like they can always give a major team a game, year after year. Kansas wins, but not by 21.
Pick - Louisiana Tech +20.5

Miami at Florida (-21.5) - ESPN - 7:00 pm

Florida could have the best team in the land. They have 2 Heisman contenders at 2 skill positions, have the best coach in the SEC, and have a really good defense. Miami still sucks.
Pick - Florida -21.5


CROWN GAME




Texas (-26.5) at UTEP - FSNSW - 9:15 pm
Texas makes a rare appearance in the Crown Game. The Sun Bowl will be sold out, but 60% of the crowd will be pro-Texas. UTEP is not very good, and Texas has a great offensive line and a new nasty demeanor on defense that should help them handle road games better this year.
Pick - Texas -26.5

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Weekend TV Preview


- Week 1 of 2008 kicks off tonight.

Thursday

Wake Forest (-12) at Baylor - FSNSW - 7:00 pm

Wake Forest brings back 16 starters from a very solid 2007 team. 9 starters back on a great defense. I love Art Briles, I think he'll win and get Baylor to 6 wins within 2-3 years. He's got more connections with Texas high school coaches than anyone in the state, including Mack Brown. He will get players to Baylor. He just won't win this year. Offenses like that take at least a year to get going. Blowout.
Pick - Wake Forest -12

Oregon State (-3) at Stanford - ESPN2 - 8:00 pm

I like Oregon State for a sleeper pick to contend for the #2 spot in the PAC-10 (behind USC of course). I think Stanford peaked with the win at USC, losing 5 of their next 7. Oregon State will be a 9 win team in 2008.
Pick - Oregon State -3

NC State at South Carolina (-14) - ESPN - 7:00 pm

NC State absolutely sucks. 10 starters return for South Carolina, which should have a top 3 defense in the SEC. NC State is terrible on offense and may not get 200 total yards. A typical, SEC-type ugly game. 20-3 Carolina.
Pick - South Carolina -14


Friday

SMU at Rice (-3.5) - ESPN - 7:00 pm

SMU will be good eventually, June Jones will turn things around. But he has guaranteed himself a terrible season by benching Justin Willis. Rice has 18 starters back. That's all I know. Take the home team.
Pick - Rice -3.5


Saturday

Virginia Tech (-9.5) at East Carolina - ESPN - 11:00 am

Virginia Tech is possibly the most boring team in America to watch. And are severely overrated year after year. 7 starters were lost on defense. The 2 top running backs have been either lost to injury or kicked off the team. The offense licks nuts. This is ripe for an underdog cover.
Pick - East Carolina +9.5

Syracuse at Northwestern (-11.5) - ESPN2 - 11:00 am

The first 11 am Big 10 game of the year. If there's a bigger TV viewing beating than an 11 am Big 10 game, I don't know of it. I do, however, think Northwestern will be a much improved 7-8 win team this year. There's too much offense for them not to be. A good QB and a very good RB, look for them to put up very un-Big 10 offensive numbers. Syracuse is depressingly terrible.
Pick - Northwestern -11.5

Bowling Green at Pittsburgh (-13) - ESPNU - 11:00 am

Another team that disgusts and bores me, Pittsburgh, a Big 10 team trapped in the Big East. Only fitting that they play at 11 am along with all the other Big 10 juggernauts. They return 15 starters and are picked to contend for the Big East. So I can't take a mid major, even with 2 TD's.
Pick - Pittsburgh -13

USC (-19.5) at Virginia - ABC - 2:30 pm

Now is where the day gets good. USC goes 3 time zones east to play Virginia. With the athletic QB Jameel Sewell not on the team anymore, some cement shoed white guy is the starter and will get eaten alive by USC, who may have the best defense in the nation. The Dirty Sanchez era begins with a bang.
Pick - USC -19.5

Utah at Michigan (-3.5) - ESPN2 - 2:30 pm

The 1st upset alert of the day. Utah is a very underrated, dangerous team. Remember what athletic QB's did to Michigan last year? App State and Oregon took Michigan to the woodshed with athletic QB play. Brian Johnson is a top 5 running QB in the nation. Rich Rodriguez will eventually rule the Big 10 with his speed oriented offense, but it will take at least a year to implement, especially with a former walk-on starting at QB. Upset in the Big House.
Pick - Utah +3.5

Oklahoma State (-7) at Washington State - FSNSW - 2:30 pm

Oklahoma State possesses one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. 8 starters back on offense, with Zac Robinson being the most unknown star QB in the conference. The defense sucks still, so I can't take them as a road favorite of a touchdown or more. I know nothing of Washington State, except that they're in the PAC-10, can probably score points, and are playing in-state. Give me the points.
Pick - Washington State +7

TCU (-6.5) at New Mexico - VS - 5:00 pm

Could be a decent game. New Mexico broke through with a bowl game last year, and TCU returns 14 starters, including 8 on defense and their QB and RB. TCU and Utah are the overlooked Mountain West teams to BYU. TCU could win 11 games this year. A loss at Oklahoma could be the only blemish. They start strong in the desert.
Pick - TCU -6.5

Boston College (-10) at Kent State - ESPNU - 6:30 pm

Please tell me how a major conference 11 win team in 2007 can be favored by only 10 against a mid major? With only the QB to replace on offense (a 5th year senior who has the goods to deliver according to scouts), and the defense bringing back multiple talented players, I see this as the pick of the day.
DOUBLE PLAY - Boston College -10

Alabama at Clemson (-4.5) - ABC - 7:00 pm

Clemson will be among the most overrated teams in the nation this year. The skill players initially excite you, but part of the equation of making those talented skill players excel is having a decent offensive line. The line was mediocre last year and contributed to disappointment, and with only 1 returning starter, expect more of the same this year. Alabama signed the best class in the nation this past off season and seems ready to climb into the elite again, but not this year. As much as I think Clemson will disappoint this year, they will win and cover against a young, talented, but not yet ready Alabama team.
Pick - Clemson -4.5

Illinois at Missouri (-9) - ESPN - 8:00 pm

Missouri (my pick for National Champion), returns everyone. They lost Martin Rucker at TE, but still have Chase Coffman. That was the only star who was lost from a team that was last seen ripping through Arkansas in the Cotton Bowl. If not for 2 meltdowns against Oklahoma last year, this team is in the BCS Championship game. This is their year. The schedule is favorable, with their 2 hardest road games very winnable (Texas and Nebraska), and their toughest game overall (Kansas) being played at a neutral site. It's all laid out for them. And Illinois comes down to earth this year, no Rashard Mendenhall means more emphasis on Juice Williams throwing the ball, which is never a good thing.
Pick - Missouri -9


CROWN GAME



Washington at Oregon (-13.5) - FSNSW - 9:00 pm

The 1st PAC-10 Crown Game of the year. How great it is to have college football back. I don't know much about either team, except that Oregon's offense will take a backseat to the defense for the 1st time in Mike Bellotti's tenure at Oregon. The defense should be a top 5 unit nationally this year. Washington has a decent game breaker at QB with Jake Locker, but little else.
Pick - Oregon -13.5


Sunday

Kentucky at Louisville (-3.5) - ESPN - 2:30 pm

The Bourbon Bowl. Not sure who to pick here, as both teams lost way too much talent to the NFL. Kentucky had 6 guys lost to the NFL on offense, and Louisville lost Brian Brohm and Michael Bush on offense. This is such a toss up, but I think Kentucky has a better chance of having a decent season than Louisville does, so give me Kentucky.
Pick - Kentucky +3.5

Colorado (-11) at Colorado State - FSNSW - 6:30 pm

Colorado could have the toughest schedule in the nation this year, with games against West Virginia and Texas at home, Kansas, Missouri, Texas A&M and Nebraska on the road, and this game against Colorado on a neutral field. They will be very much improved and a very dangerous team for anyone. Expect a few upset wins. Their final record will probably not reflect how good of a team they may be. Colorado State sucks, but this is an underrated rivalry game that is always exciting, so I can't let 11 points sit there without taking them.
Pick - Colorado State +11


Monday

Fresno State at Rutgers (-5) - ESPN - 3:00 pm

Fresno State plays anyone, anywhere, at anytime. I love this team and this program. It shocks me that Pat Hill is still in the Valley. Rutgers goes to a more pass-based offense, which is a concern as I was not impressed at all with Mike Teel last year, and that was with Ray Rice in the backfield supposedly taking the pressure off of him. Fresno has a very underrated QB, 10 starters back on offense, and should have a more than solid defense. They always rise to the occasion when playing a big conference school. Give me the points.
Pick - Fresno State +5

Tennessee (-7) at UCLA - ESPN - 7:00 pm
UCLA burned me last year as being my sleeper top 5 pick for the year. With 20 starters back and a favorable schedule, they flopped big time. I will not make that mistake again. Rick Neuheisel is an offensive genius, but even he can't turn around that crap offense in just a year. Tennessee is a very under the radar, dangerous team that returns a ton of talent. They run all over UCLA in the Rose Bowl.
Pick - Tennessee -7

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Football is back


- It's Kickoff 2008-eve. Let's get my game-by-game schedule analysis out of the way first.

08/30 Western Michigan - W 45-28
09/06 San Jose St. - W 38-13
09/13 New Mexico St. - W 56-21
09/27 Virginia Tech - W 21-20
10/04 Missouri - L 38-24
10/11 @ Texas Tech - L 47-24
10/18 @ Iowa State - W 28-16
10/25 Baylor - W 44-14
11/01 @ Oklahoma - L 41-17
11/08 Kansas - L 31-27
11/15 @ Kansas St. - W 28-25
11/28 Colorado - W 37-27

Final Regular Season Record - 8-4.
Bowl - Alamo Bowl.



- Tim Griffin poses 5 questions for the 2008 Nebraska team.

Five burning questions for the Cornhuskers

August 26, 2008 10:44 PM

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

After an embarrassing defensive skid last season, Nebraska coach Bill Callahan was fired and replaced by Bo Pelini, a one-time Nebraska defensive coordinator who went on to greater fame and fortune as the defensive coordinator for LSU's national championship team last season.

Pelini's expertise is defense and he's got his work cut out with a unit that was blistered for more yards than any Nebraska unit in history last season. His old-school, no-nonsense approach appears to be ideal for the Cornhuskers' program heading into the season -- particularly after hiring several familiar assistants from Frank Solich's old staff to bring a sense of normalcy back to the program.

The Cornhuskers should have a punishing offensive attack that should allow them to dictate the clock and keep that defense off the field. A bruising offensive line, several potential I-backs and QB Joe Ganz gives them a nice offensive start.

But the ultimate litmus test for Nebraska this season will be how much their defense improves. It will determine how competitive they will be heading into Saturday's opener against Western Michigan.

Here are five pressing questions that will dog Pelini heading into the season.

1. Can Pelini bring some life back to the moribund defense? The Cornhuskers' defense was so bad last season that they took their Blackshirts away from the starters. Pelini still hasn't given them back. Maybe he's heard too much about producing a Big 12-low 11 turnovers last season or how they allowed 172 points in their final three games. But the unit has to improve and make more big plays or it could be a long year for the new coach.

2. Do they have enough depth at defensive tackle? After Kevin Dixon was kicked off the squad before camp began, it left Pelini scrambling for inside players. Pelini needs to light a fire under Ndamukong Suh, who badly tailed off last season. Ty Steinkuhler's back injury has been a concern. Perhaps the biggest show of panic at the position came when little brother Baker Steinkuhler was switched to defense. He was expected to be one of the Big 12's premier young offensive linemen. Oh well.

3. Who will emerge at I-back? The Cornhuskers have some of the best depth in the conference with Big 12 returning rushing leader Marlon Lucky sharing his No. 1 position with Roy Helu and Quentin Castille. Offensive coordinator Shawn Watson has called Lucky his starter, but watch for Helu and Castille to also get a lot of early work.

4. Can Joe Ganz cut down on his turnovers? Ganz posted pinball-like numbers in his three starts, rolling up 1,399 yards and 15 touchdown passes. But he was also victimized by seven interceptions and can't afford to be nearly as reckless this season. Keeping the ball away from the other team will be Nebraska's most important task offensively.

5. How will Pelini handle an extended period of losing? It's all good now for Pelini, who's the nearest thing to a rock star that can be found in Nebraska. He's even bigger than "Larry the Cable Guy."

Books have already been written about Pelini before his first game. But how would these fans handle a slump or a couple of surprise losses? More importantly, how would Pelini react to it? I still remember him going after Bill Snyder following a 2003 loss against Kansas State. And that was back when he had some good defensive players. Imagine this year's defense after facing teams like Missouri, Oklahoma, Kansas or Texas Tech. Bo might have an aneurism, unless he's learned a lot of patience over the last five years.





- 2008 Roster Analysis


- Offense.

QUARTERBACKS



• Latest word:
Funny thing, there doesn't seem to be near the commotion for Joe Ganz as for Sam Keller a year ago, and Ganz could be set to do greater things. Confidence is no problem for the senior who posted some gaudy numbers in his three starts closing out 2007. Traditional Husker fans might enjoy seeing an NU quarterback run the football again, and Ganz should be adequate at it. Let's be honest, though: There are bigger names across the Big 12 and the Huskers have no backups with meaningful experience.

• Big 12 rank: 8

• Who can help: Patrick Witt and Zac Lee have made it difficult to pick who might be No. 2. Different styles include Lee being the better runner and Witt a slightly better thrower. Might not be a bad idea to get one or the other some work if a non-conference game allows.

2 Patrick Witt Fr. 6-4 225... First three semesters have included 4.0 grade average
3 Zac Lee So. 6-2 210... Threw TD pass in Husker spring game
7 Kody Spano Fr. 6-2 210... Graduated early for January arrival in Lincoln
12 Joe Ganz Sr. 6-1 210... Passed for 1,399 yards, 15 TDs in three starts
15 Beau Davis Sr. 6-4 180... At 23, Davis is the oldest of the bunch
16 Jim Ebke So. 6-0 210... Lincoln East grad transferred from South Dakota State
18 Zach Ruiz Fr. 6-3 210... Twice led Beatrice to Class B state semifinals


RUNNING BACKS



• Latest word:
Marlon Lucky is a returning 1,000-yard rusher but it won't be surprising to see Nebraska spread out some carries. Roy Helu has been coming hard since spring practice and routinely gained praise from NU coach Bo Pelini. Quentin Castille could be the short-yardage man if he protects the football. Lucky lends a nice element coming out of the backfield but don't expect 75 receptions again. Hey, who knows, No. 1 fullback Thomas Lawson might even see the football.

• Big 12 rank: 3

• Who can help: It's still a little strange seeing Cody Glenn on defense, and the offense lost some experience and attitude with his departure. If Lucky, Helu and Castille stay healthy, not sure what that leaves somebody like Marcus Mendoza. Backup fullback looks to be Justin Makovicka.

5 IB Marlon Lucky Sr. 6-0 215... Accounted for 1,724 yards in 2007 with rushing and receiving
10 IB Roy Helu So. 6-0 215... California background includes experience playing rugby
14 IB Lester Ward Fr. 6-3, 215... His father, Lester Sr., played for the Dallas Cowboys
19 IB Quentin Castille So. 6-1 235... Posted 100-yard rushing game against Oklahoma State
25 IB Jeremy Wallace Fr. 6-1 220... Walk-on capped Omaha Bryan career as a 1,000-yard rusher
27 IB Kenny Wilson Sr. 6-0 225... Once promising career sidetracked by injuries
28 IB Austin Jones Fr. 5-10 205... Half-brother of Nebraska receiver Menelik Holt
29 IB Collins Okafor Fr. 6-1 195... Ran for 3,375 yards in final two Omaha Westside seasons
30 IB Mike Hays Fr. 6-1 230 ... Played both linebacker and fullback on 200 scout team
32 IB Marcus Mendoza Fr. 5-10 185... After redshirt season, caught TD pass in spring game
33 FB David Pillen Fr. 5-11 230... Son of former Husker linebacker Clete Pillen also long-snaps
35 FB Jordan Makovicka Fr. 5-10 170... Nearly hit 2,000-yard mark as senior at East Butler
36 FB Thomas Lawson Sr. 6-0 250... All three catches resulted in TDs in 2007
37 FB Kevin Thomsen Fr. 6-2 240... Elkhorn High grad redshirted last season
41 FB Aaron Gillaspie So. 6-2 240... Previously played for Nebraska's lacrosse club team
43 FB Brent Moravec Fr. 6-0 180... Son of former NU fullback Mark Moravec
45 FB Justin Makovicka So. 6-1 240... Brother of Joel and Jeff looking for first playing time
48 FB Tyler Legate So. 5-10 220... Redshirting after transfer from South Dakota


WIDE RECEIVERS



• Latest word:
There's some real concern with the Husker receiving corps and with good reason. Nate Swift and Todd Peterson bring experience and senior leadership, but neither is considered the "go-to'' threat (a la Maurice Purify) necessary in the Big 12. Swift certainly deserves praise for his 103 receptions to date. A host of unproven receivers are waiting for the chance to contribute. The safest bet is that junior Menelik Holt breaks through first. Sophomore Niles Paul might be most capable of providing some flash.

• Big 12 rank: 8

• Who can help: Phrase that in a question, please. After Holt and Paul, there's Chris Brooks, Curenski Gilleylen and Will Henry -- but their combined career catches are minimal. It's not likely than any of the scholarship freshmen will make a huge impact, if they play at all.

1 Chris Brooks Jr. 6-2 210... Played in just one game last season
4 Menelik Holt Jr. 6-4 220... All four catches after Joe Ganz became starting QB
6 Khiry Cooper Fr. 6-2 180... Fifth-round draft pick by Los Angeles Angels in June
8 Will Henry So. 6-5 220... Named to 2007 Brook Berringer Citizenship Team
9 Ben Lester Fr. 5-10 170... Comes from the same hometown as former Husker Matt Davison
11 Curenski Gilleylen Fr. 6-0 210... Caught a 77-yard TD pass in spring game
17 Todd Peterson Sr. 6-4 215... Nine TDs and a career 17.7 average per reception
21 Tim Marlowe Fr. 5-10 160... Graduated from same high school as coach Bo Pelini
23 Matt Donahue So. 6-2 180... Mandatory redshirt year for transfer from Ohio U.
24 Niles Paul So. 6-1 210... Workload likely to include punt and kickoff returns
26 Steven Osborne Fr. 6-4 185... Twin brother Courtney is on the Husker defense
82 Wes Cammack Jr. 5-11 195... First-team Academic All-Big 12 in 2007
84 Steve Spratte Fr. 5-11 180... Recruited walk-on out of Waukesha, Wis.
85 KC Hyland Fr. 6-6 195... Caught 36 passes as senior at Lincoln Pius X
87 Nate Swift Sr. 6-2 200... Needs 41 receptions to become NU's all-time leader


TIGHT ENDS



• Latest word:
Part of what accompanied the recruiting hype of the past is that when players didn't produce immediately it made people ask what was wrong. Mike McNeill from the 2006 class would be an example of somebody who just needed a little time to master the system, shake some injuries and mature physically. As a third-year sophomore, he might be ready to go. Definitely a position of need for the Huskers, who haven't gotten significant production out of a tight end since Matt Herian in an injury-shortened 2004.

• Big 12 rank: 7

• Who can help: Hunter Teafatiller and Dreu Young have played some, but Teafatiller has hurt his own cause with off-the-field issues. Ryan Hill is coming off a redshirt and actually started preseason practice listed No. 2. It looks like this will be the future home for Kyler Reed, who also has the ability to play fullback, linebacker and defensive end. Longtime NU receivers coach Ron Brown has brought his energy and experience to handling a new position.

25 Kyler Reed Fr. 6-3 220... Versatility to play a number of positions
44 Mike McNeill So. 6-4 240... Leg and shoulder injuries have set him back before
47 Tyson Hetzer Jr. 6-6 250... JC recruit from 2007 hasn't gotten untracked
49 Dreu Young So. 6-4 245... Caught a 14-yard pass vs. Nevada in first career game
80 Ryan Hill Fr. 6-3 245... Fifteen pounds heavier after a redshirt season
81 Ben Cotton Fr. 6-6 230... Shunned others for NU when his dad, Barney, joined Husker staff
83 Damon Bechtold Fr. 6-4 215... Two-way player logged 10 sacks as Omaha Westside senior
88 Jay Martin Fr. 6-2 215... Redshirt freshman practiced at linebacker last season
89 Hunter Teafatiller Sr. 6-3 240... Remember those four TD catches in 2006?


OFFENSIVE LINEMEN



• Latest word:
Some minor setbacks have come with the indefinite suspension of Andy Christensen before spring practice and Jaivorio Burkes missing the start of fall camp. There is stability and more, though, with seniors Lydon Murtha, Matt Slauson and Mike Huff. Junior Jacob Hickman slides over to handle the center chores and depth is starting to be restored after some lean years.

• Big 12 rank: 3

• Who can help: Backup guard Keith Williams is going to be one of the hardest to keep out of the lineup and a likely anchor in 2008 and 2009. D.J. Jones can play guard or tackle on the right side. Marcel Jones ran with the No. 1s at right tackle until Burkes was ready. Surprise of the bunch is Mike Caputo, a redshirt freshman and walk-on, as the No. 2 center.

54 Max McShane Fr. 6-6 290... Elkhorn grad spent a year with NU track team
56 Justin Baumgartner Sr. 6-2 245... Started his career at Chadron State
58 Mike Caputo Fr. 6-1 275... Starter on Millard North state championship team in 2005
59 Brian Thorson Fr. 6-3 280... Also a walk-on from Millard North
61 Mike Huff Sr. 6-4 300... Career numbers include 19 starts and 27 games played
63 Derek Meyer Sr. 6-5 300... K-State transfer won't be eligible until 2009
65 Mike Smith So. 6-6 285... Backup at LT played in all 12 games last season
66 Cruz Barrett So. 6-4 310... Signee from 2006 gets fresh start with new line coach
67 Jacob Hickman Jr. 6-4 290... New center started nine games last fall at left guard
68 Keith Williams So. 6-5 305... Interesting major for the bulldozing lineman: Art
69 Cory Iske Fr. 6-4 285... Millard West grad joined Huskers in January
70 Matt Slauson Sr. 6-5 320... Locked at right guard after starting at three positions in 2007
72 Jaivorio Burkes So. 6-5 325... Ditched redshirt to start three late-season games in 2007
73 D.J. Jones So. 6-5 305... First duty included playing in nine games last fall
74 Ricky Henry Jr. 6-4 305... Took two-year detour through a North Dakota JC
76 Lydon Murtha Sr. 6-7 315... Now at left tackle and protecting Joe Ganz's blind side
78 Marcel Jones Fr. 6-7 310... Big, agile and definitely looks the part in uniform
79 Brandon Thompson Fr. 6-6 295... Scholarship recruit had several Big 12 offers
82 T.J. O'Leary Sr. 6-1 235... Entering third season as NU's long snapper



- Defense.


Defensive line



• Latest word:
The Huskers need to stay healthy and develop a few young players to avoid a bad situation among the front four. All starters return, but remember, these guys combined for only 6 sacks last year on a defense that surrendered 37 points per game. Regardless, the talent is there to be a strong unit. Zach Potter, Ndamukong Suh and Barry Turner are capable of big years. Ty Steinkuhler needs to stay healthy.

• Big 12 rank: Fifth

• Who can help?: Redshirt freshmen Jared Crick and Terrence Moore impressed NU coaches in preseason camp. Baker Steinkuhler figures to fit somewhere. Maybe Pierre Allen or William Yancy can emerge as a pass-rush specialist.

17 DE Josh Williams Fr. 6-4 225 Rookie out of Texas is speedy but still undersized for line play.
31 DE Nick Covey Jr. 6-2 250 Moved to line after two injury-plagued years at linebacker.
34 DE Cameron Meredith Fr. 6-4 225 Californian started three seasons at powerful Mater Dei High School.
43 DT Ty Steinkuhler Sr. 6-3 280 Eight-game starter a year ago still bothered by back trouble.
47 DE William Yancy Fr. 6-4 245 Athletic pass rusher redshirted a year ago out of Glendale, Ariz.
50 DT Quentin Toailoa Fr. 6-4 300 Two-time all-conference high school pick from Highland, Calif.
54 DT Shukree Barfield Sr. 6-4 290 New Jersey native made 15 stops last year as juco transfer.
55 DT Baker Steinkuhler Fr. Freshman 6-6 290 Top newcomer earned prep All-America honors at offensive tackle.
58 DT Justin Jackson Fr. 6-3 255 True frosh walk on made 105-man roster for preseason camp.
63 DT Ben Martin So. 6-4 275 Versatile lineman recorded three tackles in seven games a year ago.
66 DE Conor McDermott Fr. 6-2 230 Walk on earned second-team All-Nebraska honors at Creighton Prep.
68 DE Josh Molek Fr. 6-3 235 First-team all-state in Class B a year ago at Omaha Skutt.
70 DE Kenny Anderson Fr. 6-2 235 Millard West graduate recorded 13 sacks as senior last year.
73 DT Keifer Burke Fr. 6-3 220 Honorable-mention all state last year out of Maxwell, Neb.
75 DE Luke Lingenfelter Fr. 6-4 255 Redshirted after earning C-2 all-state honors in Plainview, Neb.
80 DE David Harvey Jr. 6-4 265 Appeared in just one game last year after moving from tight end.
85 DE Faron Klingelhoefer Fr. 6-2 255 Redshirt season at UNK followed all-state career in Amherst, Neb.
88 DE Clayton Sievers Sr. 6-4 255 Former tight end has started four games over three years as top reserve.
89 DE Jonathon Santin Fr. 6-3 225 Prep star in Fullerton, Neb., redshirted last year as walk on.
90 DT Terrence Moore Fr. 6-3 275 New Orleans native may step into key backup spot after redshirting.
92 DE Tyrone Fahie So. 6-3 255 25-year-old spent six years in the U.S. Navy before walking on.
93 DT Ndamukong Suh Jr. 6-4 300 Physically gifted starter at nose tackle is coming off knee surgery.
94 DT Jared Crick Fr. 6-6 280 Pushing for lots of interior playing time after redshirting last season.
95 DE Pierre Allen So. 6-5 265 Made 16 tackles last year in 11 games as bulked-up top reserve.
98 DE Zach Potter Sr. 6-7 280 Most consistent returning lineman after making 45 tackles in 11 starts.
99 DE Barry Turner Sr. 6-3 265 Returning starter has yet to match production from freshman year.


Linebackers



• Latest word:
This is what happens when you lose four seniors who rarely came out of the game, even when NU was way ahead or behind. Nebraska is as young and perhaps more inexperienced than ever in the heart of its defense. Phillip Dillard, with three starts and 52 career tackles, ranks as the most seasoned defender. Alongside him, Cody Glenn has never played a down of defense in college, and Tyler Wortman is unproven. Several youngsters appear talented.

• Big 12 rank: 10th

• Who can help?: Coach Mike Ekeler might need to hire a babysitter for his 14 linebackers, out of 21 total, who are freshmen. Sorting through the youth, Will Compton, Alonzo Whaley and Sean Fisher look impressive. Walk-on Matt Holt stood out early in camp.

7 LB Latravis Washington So. 6-3 225 Progress of ex-prep QB from Florida hurt by August leg injury.
9 LB Austin Stafford Fr. 6-2 205 Status remains in question after missing spring and preseason practice.
34 LB Cody Glenn Sr. 6-0 235 Three years as an I-back didnt hurt Texan in bid to start right away on weak side.
35 LB Matt Holt Fr. 6-0 200 Early reporting walk on from Kansas City originally committed to sign with S.D. State.
40 LB Blake Lawrence So. 6-2 225 Former K.C.-area star played in eight games last year and enters fall as No. 2 Buck.
41 LB Thomas Grove So. 6-2 225 Played on special teams last year as rookie walk on from Arlington, Neb.
42 LB Joseph Camarata Fr. 5-10 225 Started high school at Lincoln S.E. before moving to Overland Park, Kan.
42 LB Sean Fisher Fr. 6-6 225 Big-time athlete out of Millard North could eventually fit many defensive roles.
44 LB Micah Kreikemeier Fr. 6-3 210 Bo Pelini's first recruiting score will redshirt after summer knee surgery.
45 LB Alonzo Whaley Fr. 6-1 225 Talented Texan was two-way star in high school, recording 162 tackles last year.
48 LB Marcus Smith Fr. 6-1 195 Earned second-team all state to help Crete win two consecutive Class B crowns.
49 LB Tanner Foxhoven Fr. 6-3 210 Walk on was C-1 all-state as two-way performer last year in Crofton, Neb.
51 LB Will Compton Fr. 6-2 230 NU won recruiting battle over Missouri for top recruit who could help right away.
52 LB Phillip Dillard Jr. 6-1 235 Former prep All-American looks to assume big leadership role from middle.
53 LB Tyler Wortman Sr. 6-3 235 Academic star earned starting Buck spot in spring as fifth-year walk on.
54 LB Colton Koehler Jr. 6-1 230 Nebraska Wesleyan transfer has moved into top backup role at Mike position.
61 LB Matt Manninger Fr. 6-1 225 Two-year starter at Creighton Prep walked on at NU over small-school offers.
62 LB Mychael McClure Fr. 6-5 210 Three-sport star from Wisner-Pilger is brother of NU trackster Kellen McClure.
65 LB Colin McDermott Fr. 6-2 225 All-Nebraska Creighton Prep grad earned defensive MVP of Shrine Bowl.
67 LB Sam Meginnis Fr. 6-2 210 Walk on was second-team all-state last year after leading Lincoln East in tackles.
71 LB Graham Stoddard Fr. 6-2 215 Walk on was a playmaking defensive end at Lincoln Southwest.


Secondary



• Latest word:
Other than perhaps I-back, no spot on the NU depth chart offers more athleticism than safety, where Larry Asante and Rickey Thenarse could form one of the Big 12s best duos. But there are many questions. What happens with Anthony Blue and the situation at right corner? Armando Murrillo will be solid, and Major Culbert is poised for a big year in some kind of a new role. Also, watch out for Matt OHanlon, who might just step into a leadership spot.

• Big 12 rank: Sixth

• Who can help?: Somebody among the freshmen figures to get a look for playing time. Alfonzo Dennard is a candidate. If sophomore Prince Amukamara can stay consistent, hell get on the field and make things happen.

1 CB Alfonzo Dennard Fr. 5-10 190 Newcomer from Georgia has drawn early praise for his athleticism.
2 S Major Culbert Jr. 6-0 205 Versatile performer appears ready to finally find a spot after two years of shuffling.
3 S Rickey Thenarse Jr. 6-0 195 Special teams star is ready to show athleticism on defense as top free safety.
4 S Larry Asante Sr. 6-1 210 Scheduled starter at strong safety might be poised for a breakout final year.
5 CB Anthony West So. 6-0 200 Third-year defender from San Diego may end up starting in place of Anthony Blue.
6 CB Armando Murrillo Sr. 6-0 190 Started 12 games last year and set to anchor otherwise young group of corners.
8 S Austin Cassidy Fr. 6-1 205 Walk on and former prep QB is son of ex-NU associate AD Tim, now at Texas A&M.
12 DB Courtney Osborne Fr. 6-3 175 Signed with brother Steven seven years after Bullocks, last twins to star at NU.
13 S P.J. Smith Fr. 6-2 205 Committed late in recruiting season out of Louisiana after winning three straight state titles.
14 CB Anthony Blue So. 5-10 180 Availability in doubt for budding star after March knee injury and operation.
16 S John Levorson Fr. 6-3 190 Superb athlete from Crete, Neb., needs to fill out a bit after star prep career as QB.
18 CB Shawn Sullivan Fr. 5-10 190 Texan redshirted a year ago and may find backup spot this fall.
20 DB Jase Dean Fr. 6-0 180 Walk on from Bridgeport, Neb., won three state sprinting titles as high school junior.
21 CB Prince Amukamra So. 6-1 195 Talented youngster from Arizona played in eight games as true freshman.
22 S Mason Wald Fr. 5-11 205 Hard hitter gives NU its first signee from Alabama since Brett Byford in 2003.
23 CB Lance Thorell Fr. 6-1 190 Redshirted walk on set the Class D record in the 110-meter hurdles at Loomis HS.
24 S Adam Watson So. 6-0 190 Youngest son of NU offensive coordinator did not play in first two seasons.
28 CB Eric Hagg So. 6-1 200 Versatile defender of out Arizona is capable of lining up anywhere in backfield.
33 S Matt OHanlon Sr. 5-11 195 Veteran walk on from Bellevue East will play special teams and provide depth.
36 S Matthew May Fr. 6-1 195 Made 105-man camp roster after redshirting out of Imperial, Neb.
46 DB Taylor Dixon Fr. 5-11 170 Walk on ran and passed for more than 1,000 yards last year at Wauneta-Palisade.


Kickers



• Latest word:
Titchener figures to improve again and continue the trend of strong senior punting at Nebraska. Kunalic and Henery remain stuck in a fight for the top field-goal duties, while Kunalic is again likely to handle kickoffs.

• Big 12 rank: Third

• Who can help?: Barring injury, the Huskers are set to stick with the veterans. Maher, the lone newcomer, will likely redshirt and battle next year for the punting job.

20 PK Adi Kunalic So. 6-0 185 Strong-legged kickoff man got just one chance at field goal last year, hitting from 46.
37 PK Jake Wesch Sr. 6-1 205 Contributor for three seasons as holder and occasional kickoff specialist.
90 PK Alex Henery So. 6-2 175 Omaha Burke grad was perfect on eight field goals last year and can also punt
96 PK Brett Maher Fr. 6-0 160 Walk on from Kearney, Neb., kicked and played wide receiver to earn all-state honors.
97 P Dan Titchener Sr. 6-0 200 Two-year starter from Wyoming improved average by two yards last year to 41.3.




- Big 12 Preview.



- Big 12 North.


1: Missouri.



Coach: Gary Pinkel, eighth year.
2007: 12-2, 7-1.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: The coaching staff is trying to downplay it, but Missouri players aren't bashful about discussing a trip to Miami for the BCS championship game. The Tigers were one half away from qualifying last year before Oklahoma, tied 14-14, swamped them in the second half of the Big 12 title game. No team has more preseason All-Big 12 picks than MU (8), and only Florida has two Heisman Trophy candidates as strong as QB Chase Daniel and WR-KR Jeremy Maclin.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 4 at Nebraska. The Tigers haven't won in Lincoln in 30 years. That has to change for MU to take the next step.

• OFFENSE: Better use of the running game last season made this spread offense even more dangerous. Now, with a tackle-breaker in TB Derrick Washington, the red zone woes might be over, too.
Big 12 rank: 1.

• DEFENSE: Missouri, which made huge in-season improvement last year, should be good from the opening kickoff this season. Ten starters return, led by All-America S William Moore.
Big 12 rank: 2.

• COACHING: Pinkel used to be the butt of jokes for some of his weird and panicked game-day decisions. But credit him with learning from his mistakes, trusting his players more and listening to his staff about changes.
Big 12 rank: 5.

• INTANGIBLES: MU fans look at the long history of football disappointments and can't believe something this good can happen. But young people have short history horizons, and don't know or care about past woes.
Big 12 rank: 1.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "We certainly haven't arrived. We won the Big 12 North last year. Missouri hasn't won a Big 12 championship yet. So we've made progress. Certainly I'm very proud of the players in our program, and the seniors a year ago who really helped change things.'' - Coach Gary Pinkel

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Illinois in St. Louis
Sept. 6, SE Missouri State
Sept. 13, Nevada
Sept. 20, Buffalo
Oct. 4, at Nebraska
Oct. 11, Oklahoma State
Oct. 18, at Texas
Oct. 25, Colorado
Nov. 1, at Baylor
Nov. 8, Kansas State
Nov. 15, at Iowa State
Nov. 29, Kansas in Kansas City

• 2008 PREDICTION: 13-0, BCS title game.


2: Kansas.



Coach: Mark Mangino, seventh year.
2007: 12-1, 7-1.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: The naysayers claim that a tougher schedule will bring Kansas back to earth this season. But any program that finishes in the Top 15 nationally in turnover margin (1), scoring offense (2), scoring defense (4), rushing defense (8) and total defense (12) like KU did in 2007 isn't going away. Mark Mangino has turned a town full of basketball fans into football believers. The system is in place, the recruiting is rock solid and the facilities are upgraded.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 25 vs. Texas Tech. This could be the swing game for both schools in their attempts to become upper-echelon regulars.

• OFFENSE: The Jayhawks are counting on junior-college transfer Jocques Crawford (1,935 yards, 19 touchdowns) to add some giddy-up. QB Todd Reesing's best bodyguard - T Anthony Collins - left early for the NFL.
Big 12 rank: 6.

• DEFENSE: The LBs are as good a group as any in the country, led by 6-3, 255-pound Mike Rivera. The loss of DT James McClinton is big, but the ends are strong and the secondary is deep and talented.
Big 12 rank: 3.

• COACHING: No one in this league enjoys the week before a Kansas game. Mangino is Bill Snyder-esque in his preparation and game planning. A key this year is how new defensive coordinator Clint Bowen operates on game day.
Big 12 rank: 2.

• INTANGIBLES: For years, Mangino and his staff played chess with only checkers-caliber players. Now that the recruiting has been upgraded, the moves and counters are executed faster and better, and it shows.
Big 12 rank: 5.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "Expectations are very high for our program. We embrace those expectations because there was a time when I first arrived here that there were no expectations for Kansas' football program. We think we're going to have a pretty good football team again.'' - Coach Mark Mangino

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Florida International
Sept. 6, Louisiana Tech
Sept. 12, at South Florida
Sept. 20, Sam Houston State
Oct. 4, at Iowa State
Oct. 11, Colorado
Oct. 18, at Oklahoma
Oct. 25, Texas Tech
Nov. 1, Kansas State
Nov. 8, at Nebraska
Nov. 15, Texas
Nov. 29, Missouri in Kansas City

• 2008 PREDICTION: 8-4, Holiday Bowl.


3: Nebraska.



Coach: Bo Pelini, first year.
2007: 5-7, 2-6.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: Bo Pelini was a strong hire for a program that had lost its identity and its manhood. Nebraska was badly in need of some no-nonsense toughness and straightforward communication. Now, how many victories does that produce? That's the $1.1 million-a-year question. Husker fans want it hot and want it now, but a 7-5 or 8-4 record with a minor bowl should be considered a good first step on the road back to the Top 15.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Sept. 27 vs. Virginia Tech. The Huskers need a good showing against a strong program before facing Missouri and Texas Tech back to back.

• OFFENSE: Having a good line is a good place to start. And QB Joe Ganz looks like a spunky leader in the mold of Chase Daniel and Todd Reesing. But this unit is lacking in big-gainers and playmakers.
Big 12 rank: 7.

• DEFENSE: There are too many good players on this side of the ball to be as bad as last year. Don't be surprised if NU recovers as many fumbles in the season-opener as it did all last season (three).
Big 12 rank: 6.

• COACHING: Regardless Pelini's pedigree, questions always linger over a first-time head coach. Will he be a giant in the game like Oklahoma's Bob Stoops or someone on the hot seat in four years like Arizona's Mike Stoops?
Big 12 rank: 7.

• INTANGIBLES: Nebraskans need to deal with the fact that after six games, the record could be 3-3. So pay more attention this season to whether the Huskers act like they're coached and play like they care. Those are the keys.
Big 12 rank: 4.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "I know I'm not a psychologist. I'm not a guy who can just get them into a room and wipe out any bad feelings or bad memories they've had. As they're taught and get comfortable in our system and they develop confidence, then those things go away.'' - Coach Bo Pelini

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Western Michigan
Sept. 6, San Jose State
Sept. 13, New Mexico State
Sept. 27, Virginia Tech
Oct. 4, Missouri
Oct. 11, at Texas Tech
Oct. 18, at Iowa State
Oct. 25, Baylor
Nov. 1, at Oklahoma
Nov. 8, Kansas
Nov. 15, at Kansas State
Nov. 28, Colorado

• 2008 PREDICTION: 7-5, Insight Bowl.


4: Colorado.



Coach: Dan Hawkins, third year.
2007: 6-7, 4-4.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: The Buffaloes would like to strut around some after going from 2-10 in 2006 to 6-7 last year. But they know they could be a better team this year and end up with a worse record because of a nasty schedule, both in and out of conference. Coach Dan Hawkins appears to have things in place for long-term success. But this season could be a sideways step because the offensive talent is young, and too many top-flight veteran defenders graduated.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Consecutive games against West Virginia (Sept. 18), Florida State (Sept. 27), Texas (Oct. 4) and Kansas (Oct. 11). Whew!

• OFFENSE: CU really needs TB Darrell Scott, the nation's top incoming prep runner, to be as good as advertised. A breakaway threat in the backfield will give developing QB Cody Hawkins much-needed cover.
Big 12 rank: 9.

• DEFENSE: All-Big 12 choice George Hypolite leads a strong front four. But the Buffs lost two first-team All-Big 12 picks in the back seven. With so many great QBs in this league, this isn't the year to have a green secondary.
Big 12 rank: 8.

• COACHING: Hawkins' high-energy personality has been a big hit in laid-back Boulder. The recruiting is rolling at a high level. And for the first time in 19 years at the school, the entire staff remained intact.
Big 12 rank: 6.

• INTANGIBLES: If a young offensive line and the freshman Scott develop quickly, Colorado could make a lot of predictions look bad. But the meat-grinder schedule looks like too big a challenge for any kind of breakout.
Big 12 rank: 6.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "So much of life is made up in the details of little things. We were a 'skosh' away from winning 10 games a year ago, and also a 'skosh' away from winning two, as horrific as that sounds. So in every area, it's going to have to be minuscule improvements to scratch and claw and be able to win.'' - Coach Dan Hawkins

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 31, Colorado State in Denver
Sept. 6, Eastern Washington
Sept. 18, West Virginia
Sept. 27, Florida State in Jacksonville, Fla.
Oct. 4, Texas
Oct. 11, at Kansas
Oct. 18, Kansas State
Oct. 25, at Missouri
Nov. 1, at Texas A&M
Nov. 8, Iowa State
Nov. 15, Oklahoma State
Nov. 28, at Nebraska

• 2008 PREDICTION: 5-7, no bowl.


5: Kansas State.



Coach: Ron Prince, third year.
2007: 5-7, 3-5.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: Ron "Bold and Daring'' Prince would seem to have lost that title after a $250,000 buyout of a home game against Fresno State in order to schedule Montana State. But then he signed 19 junior college players in February, which is about as bold and daring as you can get. K-State's November collapse last season _ four losses by an average score of 51-28 _ looks like it has sparked a panic move, though Prince said the JC bonanza is part of his master plan.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 4 vs. Texas Tech. If KSU doesn't win that Big 12 home opener, up next are four road games around a home game with Oklahoma.

• OFFENSE: The Wildcats scored three points total in the spring game. The top running back was a walk-on junior college transfer. All-America WR Jordy Nelson graduated. And Josh Freeman says he's the league's best QB. You sort it out.
Big 12 rank: 10.

• DEFENSE: Changing from the 4-3 to a 3-4 last year was a major mistake. It left the Wildcats short-handed and out of position, leading to the late-season wipeouts. Moving Ian Campbell back to DE is a good start.
Big 12 rank: 10.

• COACHING: In Prince's first two seasons, eight assistants left. He has upset Texas twice, but is 0-6 against Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska. Still, he just got a $350,000 raise and two more years on his contract.
Big 12 rank: 9.

• INTANGIBLES: Prince is either a mad scientist with a secret formula for success or is over his head and looking to cobble together a decent year to use as a way to get out. Either way, it's a fascinating story.
Big 12 rank: 7.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "We've started 45 players in each of the past two seasons. We've redshirted very few players. We've put ourselves in a position to be one of the most experienced teams in the league for 2008. That was one of our goals from the beginning.'' - Coach Ron Prince

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, North Texas
Sept. 6, Montana State
Sept. 17, at Louisville
Sept. 27, UL-Lafayette
Oct. 4, Texas Tech
Oct. 11, at Texas A&M
Oct. 18, at Colorado
Oct. 25, Oklahoma
Nov. 1, at Kansas
Nov. 8, at Missouri
Nov. 15, Nebraska
Nov. 22, Iowa State

• 2008 PREDICTION: 4-8, no bowl.


6: Iowa State.



Coach: Gene Chizik, second year.
2007: 3-9, 2-6.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: ISU earned respect around the league with a sound finish to 2007. After a 53-point home loss to Texas, the Cyclones played Oklahoma and Missouri close and beat Kansas State and Colorado. Still, this is a major work in progress. There are no preseason All-Big 12 picks, and there probably won't be any postseason ones, either. A major infusion of talent is needed in the next few years for ISU to even think about reaching the upper half of the North Division.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Sept. 6 vs. Kent State. The Cyclones lost at home to Kent State (3-9) last year. They can't let it happen again.

• OFFENSE: Even with QB Bret Meyer and WR Todd Blythe, ISU was last in the Big 12 in scoring and total offense. So what happens with them gone? Look for more ball-control, milk-the-clock drives to try to shorten games.
Big 12 rank: 12.

• DEFENSE: Where's the beef? The depth chart shows a front four with weights of 258, 273, 288 and 250. The biggest linebacker weighs 223. And only one of the top eight secondary players tops 200 pounds.
Big 12 rank: 11.

• COACHING: Chizik's teams will play hard and line up correctly. But the big questions are whether the recruiting can improve and if the staff needs to be beefed up with more guys who have been at BCS schools.
Big 12 rank: 12.

• INTANGIBLES: When the Iowa State administration pulled the plug on the Dan McCarney era, it knew patience would be required in trying to build this differently. But waiting is the hardest part.
Big 12 rank: 11.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "Our last eight months have been very driven to show progress. We feel like everything is on the right track. We will have more growing pains. We don't have a lot of players where you 'add water, instant player.' So we've got to do a lot of developing.'' - Coach Gene Chizik

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 28, South Dakota State
Sept. 6, Kent State
Sept. 13, at Iowa
Sept. 20, at UNLV
Oct. 4, Kansas
Oct. 11, at Baylor
Oct. 18, Nebraska
Oct. 25, Texas A&M
Nov. 1, at Oklahoma State
Nov. 8, at Colorado
Nov. 15, Missouri
Nov. 22, at Kansas State

• 2008 PREDICTION: 3-9, no bowl.




- Big 12 South.

1: Oklahoma.



Coach: Bob Stoops, 10th year.
2007: 11-3, 6-2.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: Despite four BCS bowl losses in a row, the Sooners' strength inside the Big 12 remains plainly evident. OU has played in six of the past eight Big 12 championship games, and will be favored to make it seven of nine as long as QB Sam Bradford (No. 1 nationally in pass efficiency as a freshman) avoids a sophomore slump. Oklahoma has reached a rhythm in its style of play and its recruiting that makes it difficult for the rest of this league to keep up.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 11 vs. Texas in Dallas. Regardless of which new contender pops up, this game always sets the table in the South.

• OFFENSE: What's not to like? Bradford proved to be more than a caretaker at QB. The offensive line might be the nation's best. TB DeMarco Murray is a game-breaker. And the receivers are above average.
Big 12 rank: 2.

• DEFENSE: The front four is nasty and deeply talented, providing the pressure up front that is so important against spread offenses. The back seven lost some key players, but several redshirts showed well in the spring.
Big 12 rank: 1.

• COACHING: Since becoming a head coach in 1999, Bob Stoops has averaged 10.8 wins a season. And that's while having five assistants move on to other Division I-A head coaching jobs.
Big 12 rank: 1.

• INTANGIBLES: After winning a league-best fifth Big 12 title and becoming the first school to win two in a row, Oklahoma is on a roll on the field with its play and off the field with facilities and support.
Big 12 rank: 3.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "We've been in six Big 12 championship games and we won five, so we're doing something right. We know how to win those games. We'll manage the others the best we can. As much as anything, it's the players staying invested in us as coaches as well as us doing the job we need to do to be at our best.'' - Coach Bob Stoops

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Chattanooga
Sept. 6, Cincinnati
Sept. 13, at Washington
Sept. 27, TCU
Oct. 4, at Baylor
Oct. 11, Texas in Dallas
Oct. 18, Kansas
Oct. 25, at Kansas State
Nov. 1, Nebraska
Nov. 8, at Texas A&M
Nov. 22, Texas Tech
Nov. 29, at Oklahoma State

• 2008 PREDICTION: 11-2, BCS bowl.


2: Texas Tech.



Coach: Mike Leach, ninth year.
2007: 9-4, 4-4.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: The Red Raiders are the trendy pick nationally for a breakout season. They have a wild and crazy coach, 19 starters back from a 9-4 team and a three-year starting QB who led the nation in passing. Confidence is high, but is it justified? For every big victory Tech has had in recent years, there seems to have been two head-scratching defeats to counter it. The Red Raiders' best finish under Leach is No. 18. That leaves too much doubt for now.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 25 at Kansas and Nov. 22 at Oklahoma. In road games against ranked foes, Texas Tech under Leach is 1-18.

• OFFENSE: Tech was second nationally last season in total offense and seventh in scoring. That probably won't change, but too many stats are piled up against weak non-league foes. More consistency in league play is needed.
Big 12 rank: 4.

• DEFENSE: This unit did improve after changing coordinators following a 49-45 loss at Oklahoma State in week four. But giving up 41, 31, 59, 27 and 28 points in games after mid-October leave an uneasy feeling.
Big 12 rank: 5.

• COACHING: Leach has extended Texas Tech's Big 12-best streak of consecutive years with bowl eligibility to 15, and created an identity for Red Raider football. The next step is to move up a step into the BCS-bowl echelon.
Big 12 rank: 4.

• INTANGIBLES: Is this Tech team the one that is so tired of banging on the door and not being let in that it will do something about it? That's the theme entering the season. We'll see where it leads.
Big 12 rank: 2.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "Our expectations are already high. So what that means to me is we just need to ignore expectations and everybody needs to do their job and improve on their role. If everybody does that together for the entire season, we have a chance to continue to improve.'' - Coach Mike Leach

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Eastern Washington
Sept. 6, at Nevada
Sept. 13, SMU
Sept. 20, Massachusetts
Oct. 4, at Kansas State
Oct. 11, Nebraska
Oct. 18, at Texas A&M
Oct. 25, at Kansas
Nov. 1, Texas
Nov. 8, Oklahoma State
Nov. 22, at Oklahoma
Nov. 29, Baylor

• 2008 PREDICTION: 9-3, Cotton Bowl.


3: Texas.



Coach: Mack Brown, 11th year.
2007: 10-3, 5-3.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: It was interesting at Big 12 media days to watch Texas _ with a $105 million athletic budget and a 98,000-seat football stadium - attempt to label itself as an underdog this season. Perhaps that's reverse swagger from a program that has won at least 10 games for seven straight seasons. Even if the Longhorns are a year away, as many analysts think, there is too much talent around for them to be too far off the radar screen.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 11 vs. Oklahoma in Dallas. The Longhorns could rattle the ratings with an upset here.

• OFFENSE: Is the offense that produced 52 points in the Holiday Bowl the real deal? For that game, UT used a quicker tempo, more exotic plays and some passer-runner QB alternating. This under-performing unit needs some jazzing up.
Big 12 rank: 5.

• DEFENSE: New coordinator Will Muschamp from Auburn has had free reign to jumble this unit, which gave up the most yards in school history. He has opened the depth chart and promised to play those who produce.
Big 12 rank: 4.

• COACHING: Muschamp is as well-regarded as any defensive coordinator nationally. Also, bringing in former QB Major Applewhite as an offensive aide could light a fire under longtime coordinator Greg Davis.
Big 12 rank: 3.

• INTANGIBLES: When the Longhorns get fired up and want to play, few can hang with them. The problem is effort and intensity sometimes seem optional. Will UT believe it is a year away or be willing to strike now?
Big 12 rank: 9.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "The Big 12 may be the strongest it has ever been from top to bottom. We have nine bowl teams on our schedule, so it will be the hardest schedule we've ever played. We'll have to play really, really well to have as good as team as we have had because of the strength of schedule and the offenses in this league.'' - Coach Mack Brown

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Florida Atlantic
Sept. 6, at UTEP
Sept. 13, Arkansas
Sept. 20, Rice
Oct. 4, at Colorado
Oct. 11, Oklahoma in Dallas
Oct. 18, Missouri
Oct. 25, Oklahoma State
Nov. 1, at Texas Tech
Nov. 8, Baylor
Nov. 15, at Kansas
Nov. 27, Texas A&M

• 2008 PREDICTION: 8-4, Alamo Bowl.


4: Oklahoma State.



Coach: Mike Gundy, fourth year.
2007: 7-6, 4-4.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: With billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens writing checks, swagger is in plentiful supply in Stillwater. But can the Cowboys cover the checks being written? Mike Gundy is known more for his verbal assault on a female sportswriter last season than for his coaching acumen. The loss of offensive guru Larry Fedora to Southern Mississippi won't help. OSU is scary-good athletically, but hasn't discovered the keys to consistency yet.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 25 at Texas. Considering the schedule OSU drew this season, a road upset of major magnitude will be needed to contend.

• OFFENSE: Of all the Big 12 spread formations, this one structurally may be the most difficult to defend. QB Zac Robinson and TE Brandon Pettigrew are very underrated, and the line depth may be the school's best in years.
Big 12 rank: 3.

• DEFENSE: After finishing 101st in total defense last season, improvement is a must. Only two starters in the front seven return. Five juco defenders enrolled in January and need to make an impact.
Big 12 rank: 9.

• COACHING: Give Gundy credit in recruiting. For the first time, the Cowboys have landed Top 25 classes for three straight years. The problem has been more in fitting that talent together.
Big 12 rank: 11.

• INTANGIBLES: It's hard to find any. This looks like the usual Oklahoma State team. The Pokes will pull an upset, lose an easy one, finish just above .500 and go to a minor bowl.
Big 12 rank: 10.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "Our players are very excited, very confident. We feel very good about our progress in the latter part of last season. We finished strong, with a bowl win over Indiana. We had a great recruiting class. We have a lot of discipline and structure in our program, and that's what we believe in.'' - Coach Mike Gundy

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Washington State in Seattle
Sept. 6, Houston
Sept. 13, Missouri State
Sept. 27, Troy
Oct. 4, Texas A&M
Oct. 11, at Missouri
Oct. 18, Baylor
Oct. 25, at Texas
Nov. 1, Iowa State
Nov. 8, at Texas Tech
Nov. 15, at Colorado
Nov. 29, Oklahoma

• 2008 PREDICTION: 7-5, Sun Bowl.


5: Texas A&M.



Coach: Mike Sherman, first year.
2007: 7-6, 4-4.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: Don't assume this is a carbon copy of the Nebraska-Bill Callahan experiment, even though new coach Mike Sherman has been in the NFL the past 11 years (Green Bay, Houston) and then hired four former Callahan staffers. Sherman has been at A&M twice before for seven seasons total. He has work to do to repair the Aggie spirit. Under Dennis Franchione, A&M recorded its worst loss ever and had two losing records in five years.

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: Oct. 11 vs. Kansas State and Nov. 1 vs. Colorado. These home games are must wins for A&M to get bowl eligible.

• OFFENSE: Drastic change is afoot. The option-based attack has been scrapped for a pro-style set, often with two backs. That means two-year QB starter Stephen McGee has to start over to hold off 6-foot-5 Jerrod Johnson.
Big 12 rank: 11.

• DEFENSE: The man punching the buttons is 64-year-old Joe Kines. He'll pull out every trick in his thick book to shore up the Wrecking Crew, which gave up 42 touchdowns and 416 yards a game last year.
Big 12 rank: 7.

• COACHING: It's an interesting collection. Kines is in his 40th year. Former Kansas wishbone QB Nolan Cromwell, the offensive coordinator, has zero time as a college coach. Tom Rossley is a former head coach at SMU.
Big 12 rank: 8.

• INTANGIBLES: First-year coaches struggle in leagues this good. No reason to expect an exception here. The learning curve for the NFL guys will be steeper than they expect. And the current personnel doesn't fit the new systems.
Big 12 rank: 8.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "I know the landscape well, and I know what it's all about. It's as similar as I can get to a place like Green Bay, where you come to work every day, the expectations are very high and the fans are very passionate.'' - Coach Mike Sherman

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Arkansas State
Sept. 6, at New Mexico
Sept. 20, Miami (Fla.)
Sept. 27, Army
Oct. 4, at Oklahoma State
Oct. 11, Kansas State
Oct. 18, Texas Tech
Oct. 25, at Iowa State
Nov. 1, Colorado
Nov. 8, Oklahoma
Nov. 15, at Baylor
Nov. 27, at Texas

• 2008 PREDICTION: 6-6, Independence Bowl.


6: Baylor.



Coach: Art Briles, first year.
2007: 3-9, 0-8.

• SWAGGER FACTOR: New coach Art Briles says he likes to "walk down paths nobody else wants to walk down.'' Well, he's at the right place. Baylor is 11-85 all-time in the Big 12, has finished last in the South in 10 of 12 years and has a 13-year bowl drought. Briles, the fifth BU coach in 13 years, has plenty of work to do before even thinking about "swagger.'' The Bears first need to find their way to "respectable'' then "improving'' and "challenger.''

• ALL WILL BE REVEALED: During nonconference play. That's when Baylor faces Wake Forest (9-4), Washington State (5-7) and Connecticut (9-4).

• OFFENSE: Briles was an assistant for three years to Texas Tech's Mike Leach, which added to his wide-open offense. As a Texas prep coach, Briles developed five QBs who each threw for 3,000 yards in college.
Big 12 rank: 8.

• DEFENSE: Only Nebraska's sorriest defensive season ever kept Baylor, 110th nationally, out of last place in the Big 12. LB Joe Pawelek is an honors candidate. But depth and talent are in short supply overall.
Big 12 rank: 12.

• COACHING: Briles is a fixer-upper. He led Houston to its first undisputed conference title in 26 years and first 10-win season since 1990. He also turned Stephenville (Texas) High into a winner.
Big 12 rank: 10.

• INTANGIBLES: Chuck Reedy, Dave Roberts, Kevin Steele and Guy Morriss couldn't make it work. So what hope does Briles have? With his extensive Texas roots (five high schools, three colleges), maybe recruiting ramps up.
Big 12 rank: 12.

• QUOTEWORTHY: "If I walked through the room and 11 other head coaches from the Big 12 walked through, there probably wouldn't be a whole lot of people pointing at me saying, 'There goes Baylor football.' So that's what we're out to change.'' - Coach Art Briles

SCHEDULE:
Aug. 30, Wake Forest
Sept. 6, NW (La.) State
Sept. 13, Washington State
Sept. 19, at Connecticut
Oct. 4, Oklahoma
Oct. 11, Iowa State
Oct. 18, at Oklahoma State
Oct. 25, at Nebraska
Nov. 1, Missouri
Nov. 8, at Texas
Nov. 15, Texas A&M
Nov. 29, at Texas Tech

• 2008 PREDICTION: 3-9, no bowl.






- 2008 Games to watch.

Keep up-to-date on the best the 2008 season has to offer

Rivalries. Backyard brawls. Cocktail parties. From Aug. 30 to Dec. 6, the 2008 college football season is chock full of great matchups from coast to coast. Here's a week-by-week schedule of games to watch:


Week 1

Aug. 30: Alabama vs. Clemson (8 p.m. ET, ABC)

The Crimson Tide and the Tigers meet in Atlanta's Georgia Dome, where Clemson ended the 2007 season with a 23-20 overtime loss to Auburn in the Chick-fil-A Bowl. A loss to Alabama would greatly diminish Clemson's lofty expectations in 2008.

Aug. 30: Illinois vs. Missouri (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Who knew last year's opener in the Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis would produce two of college football's biggest surprises? The Tigers have their sights set on a national championship this season; the Illini hope to stay near the top of the Big Ten.

Upset alert: East Carolina over Virginia Tech (Noon ET, ESPN)


Week 2

Sept. 6: Oregon State vs. Penn State (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC)

The Nittany Lions, with 14 starters back, might be flying under the radar in the Big Ten. The Beavers have quietly put together the best two-year record in the Pac-10 by a team other than USC.

Upset alert: Central Florida over South Florida (7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)


Week 3

Sept. 12: Kansas at South Florida (8 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

The Jayhawks and Bulls play in Tampa on Friday night in a matchup of two of last season's biggest surprises. South Florida climbed as high as No. 2 in the national rankings before slipping badly at season's end. Kansas went 12-1 in 2007, but didn't face a nonconference opponent anywhere near the level of the Bulls.

Sept. 13: Ohio State at USC (8 p.m. ET, ABC)
The Buckeyes, losers in each of the past two BCS championship games, hope to finally silence their critics by beating the Trojans in the Coliseum. USC is going for its seventh consecutive Pac-10 title, but must replace several key pieces and pray quarterback Mark Sanchez is ready to play against Ohio State.

Sept. 13: Georgia at South Carolina (3 p.m. ET)
Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier loves beating the Bulldogs more than any other opponent. South Carolina's 16-12 win in Athens last season cost Georgia a chance to play for the SEC title and possibly a BCS championship. Another loss to the Gamecocks would probably all but end the top-ranked Bulldogs' championship hopes again.

Upset alert: Fresno State over Wisconsin (10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)


Week 4

Sept. 20: Georgia at Arizona State (8 p.m., ABC)

The Bulldogs make a rare trip west of the Mississippi River. The Sun Devils won 10 games in coach Dennis Erickson's first season, but they'll have to do a better job protecting quarterback Rudy Carpenter against Georgia's defense.

Sept. 20: Florida at Tennessee, (TBA)
The Gators blasted Tennessee 59-20 in the Swamp last season, one of the most embarrassing defeats in coach Phillip Fulmer's tenure. The Volunteers are flying under the radar in the SEC East, with nearly everyone focusing on Florida and Georgia.

Sept. 20: LSU at Auburn (TBA)
The third big SEC game of the weekend could decide which team wins the SEC West. It's a physical, close game each time these teams meet. Defending national champion LSU won 30-24 at Auburn last season.

Upset alert: Boise State over Oregon (3:30 p.m. ET)


Week 5

Sept. 27: Illinois at Penn State (8 p.m. ET)

The Illini beat the Nittany Lions 27-20 last season, one of the first big victories for coach Ron Zook. The winner of this year's game might challenge Ohio State and Wisconsin for Big Ten supremacy.

Sept. 27: Virginia Tech at Nebraska (TBA)
The Hokies are the first big test for new Cornhuskers coach Bo Pelini, who hopes to restore Nebraska's pride on defense. Defending ACC champion Virginia Tech must replace a boatload of talent on defense.

Upset alert: Oregon State over USC (Thursday, Sept. 25, 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)


Week 6

Oct. 2: Pittsburgh at South Florida (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The Thursday night game is the Panthers' first opportunity to prove they're finally ready to challenge for the Big East championship again. Pitt must slow down Bulls quarterback Matt Grothe; South Florida must contain tailback LeSean McCoy.

Oct. 4: Ohio State at Wisconsin (8 p.m. ET)
The Badgers get their chance to beat the Buckeyes in a night game at Camp Randall Stadium. Wisconsin was no match for Ohio State last season, losing 38-17 in Columbus.

Oct. 4: Oregon at Southern Cal (8 p.m. ET)
The Ducks beat the Trojans 24-17 in Eugene, Ore., last season and seemed to be on their way to winning the Pac-10 until quarterback Dennis Dixon blew out his knee. Each team has a new quarterback this season.

Upset alert: Rutgers over West Virginia (Noon ET)


Week 7

Oct. 9: Clemson at Wake Forest (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The Demon Deacons might be Clemson's stiffest competition in the ACC's Atlantic Division. Wake Forest coach Jim Grobe hopes his team puts up more of a fight than last season -- the Tigers won 44-10 at Death Valley.

Oct. 11: Texas at Oklahoma (Noon ET, ABC)
Oklahoma stopped a two-game losing streak to the Longhorns with a 28-21 victory in last season's Red River Rivalry. The Sooners have won six of their past eight games against Texas.

Oct. 11: LSU at Florida (TBA)
The past two national champions meet in the Swamp, with the Gators still smarting from last season's 28-24 loss in Baton Rouge. The Gators led for all but 1 minute, 9 seconds -- but somehow lost the game.

Oct. 11: Tennessee at Georgia (TBA)
The Volunteers routed Georgia 35-14 at Neyland Stadium last season, the last time the Bulldogs would lose in 2007. Tennessee won 51-33 at Sanford Stadium in 2006, becoming only the second opponent to ever score more than 50 points between the hedges.

Oct. 11: Arizona State at USC (TBA)
The Sun Devils were no match for the Trojans in 2007, losing 44-24 in Tempe. Arizona State might be USC's best competition in the Pac-10 this season.

Upset alert: Notre Dame over North Carolina (TBA)


Week 8

Oct. 16: BYU at TCU (8 p.m. ET)
If the Cougars are going to crash the BCS party, they'll have to get past the Horned Frogs, who failed to get to the BCS last season.

Oct. 18: Kansas at Oklahoma (TBA)
The Jayhawks didn't have to play Oklahoma or Texas while posting a 12-1 record in 2007. Kansas has to play both teams this season.

Oct. 18: Michigan at Penn State (4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Rich Rodriguez takes his spread offense to Happy Valley for the first time, hoping his new quarterback will make the Nittany Lions not-so-happy.

Upset alert: South Carolina over LSU (TBA).


Week 9

Oct. 23: Auburn at West Virginia (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The Tigers make a rare trip near the Mason-Dixon Line in a battle of teams with BCS title aspirations. Mountaineers quarterback Pat White gets a chance to beat a team from his home state of Alabama.

Oct. 25: Georgia at LSU (TBA)
The Bulldogs and Tigers have played in two of the past five SEC championship games, and the winner of this game might jump in the driver's seat of the conference race.

Oct. 25: Texas Tech at Kansas (TBA)
Red Raiders coach Mike Leach takes his high-powered offense to Lawrence, Kan., for the first of two very difficult road games in Big 12 play.

Oct. 25: Penn State at Ohio State (8 p.m. ET)
The Nittany Lions might be one of only three Big Ten teams that can challenge the Buckeyes this season. Ohio State blasted Penn State 37-17 at Happy Valley last season.

Upset alert: Alabama over Tennessee (TBA)


Week 10

Nov. 1: Georgia vs. Florida (TBA)

The Bulldogs finally beat the Gators 42-30 last season, winning in Jacksonville, Fla., for only the third time in 18 meetings. Florida has its sights set on revenge after the Dogs danced in the end zone in one of the most bizarre moments in the storied rivalry.

Nov. 1: Clemson at Boston College (TBA)
The Eagles beat the Tigers 20-17 at Death Valley last season to win the ACC's Atlantic Division. Boston College coach Jeff Jagodzinski believes his team might be better than everyone else thinks.

Upset alert: Notre Dame over Pittsburgh (2:30 p.m. ET)


Week 11

Nov. 8: Alabama at LSU (TBA)

Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban returns to Baton Rouge, La., for the first time. The Tigers beat their former coach's team 41-34 in last season's meeting in Tuscaloosa, Ala.

Nov. 8: Cincinnati at West Virginia (TBA)
Pat White helped the Mountaineers run the Bearcats out of the Big East race last season by running for a pair of touchdowns in a 28-23 victory.

Nov. 8: Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (TBA)
After beating the Red Raiders 49-45 last season, Cowboys coach Mike Gundy screamed, "I'm a man!" After this year's meeting in Lubbock, Texas, Leach hopes he'll be able to scream, "I'm the man!"

Upset alert: California over USC (8 p.m. ET, ABC)


Week 12

Nov. 15: Ohio State at Illinois (TBA)

Last season, the Illini upset the Buckeyes 28-21 in Columbus, Ohio, nearly knocking Ohio State out of the BCS championship game. Coach Jim Tressel has to find a way to neutralize Illinois' spread offense.

Nov. 15: Georgia at Auburn (TBA)
The Tigers might be the last roadblock in Georgia's quest for a national championship. These teams have ended each other's championship hopes countless times during the Deep South's Oldest Rivalry.

Nov. 15: USC at Stanford (TBA)
The Cardinal stunned the Trojans 24-23 in the Coliseum last season, ending the Trojans' 35-game home winning streak.

Upset alert: South Carolina over Florida (TBA)


Week 13

Nov. 19: Ball State at Central Michigan (7 p.m., ESPN2)

The MAC's top two teams play in a game that might decide which team wins the MAC West. Central Michigan's Dan LeFevour and Ball State's Nate Davis are two of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country.

Nov. 22: Michigan at Ohio State (TBA)
Rodriguez can run for governor in Michigan if he ends the Wolverines' recent slide against Ohio State. The Buckeyes have won six of the past seven meetings.

Nov. 22: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (TBA)
The Red Raiders took a 27-7 lead in the first half of last season's 34-27 victory, beating the Sooners for the second time in a row at AT&T Jones Stadium. The loss knocked the Sooners out of the national championship race.

Upset alert: Utah over BYU (6 p.m. ET)


Week 14

Nov. 28: West Virginia at Pittsburgh (Noon ET, ABC)

Last season, the Panthers stunned the Mountaineers 13-9 in Morgantown, W. Va., knocking the Mountaineers out of the BCS championship game. The 101st meeting of the Backyard Brawl figures to be just as intense.

Nov. 28: Fresno State at Boise State (6 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
If the Bulldogs can get past a tough early schedule, which includes a road game at Rutgers and a home game against Wisconsin, they might still be in the BCS hunt when the play the Broncos on the blue turf.

Nov. 29: Kansas at Missouri (TBA)
The Tigers beat the Jayhawks 36-28 last season to win the Big 12 North. But Missouri still has revenge on its mind because Kansas received an at-large invitation to the Orange Bowl.

Upset alert: South Carolina over Clemson (TBA)


Week 15

Dec. 6: South Florida at West Virginia (TBA)

The Bulls and Mountaineers both climbed as high as No. 2 in the national rankings last season. Each team is good enough to get that high again this year.

Dec. 6: USC at UCLA (4:30 p.m. ET, ABC)
Bruins coach Rick Neuheisel gets an up-close look at the dynasty he must overcome in Los Angeles. It will probably take a couple of more years until he's ready to compete with the Trojans.

Upset alert: Arizona over Arizona State (TBA)